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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GAO Daniel	-	-	-	-	3%	25%	72%
2	KOKENGE Reid	-	-	-	1%	9%	36%	54%
3	LAI Aedin	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	22%
3	SVERDLOV Seth	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	17%	2%
5	ZHANG ethan	3%	16%	32%	31%	14%	3%
6	THAKUR Om S.	-	-	3%	17%	42%	37%
7	OTTO Nathaniel B.	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	9%
8	DORASZELSKI Mark	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
9	REDDY Arya	1%	11%	32%	36%	17%	3%
10	LEE Aiden	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%
11	BLACK Zachary	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%	-
12	LAI Boden	-	1%	5%	20%	38%	32%	5%
13	MAO Benjamin	1%	11%	33%	37%	16%	2%
14	WEN Ethan	2%	20%	38%	30%	9%	1%
15	HU Robert J.	13%	34%	33%	16%	4%	-
16	GANESAN Mathavan	1%	15%	35%	34%	13%	2%
17	JIANG ryan	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
18	CHADDA Ilyas	3%	19%	36%	30%	11%	1%	-
19	DURKIN Tristan E.	-	1%	6%	21%	38%	29%	5%
20	CHOU Benson	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%	-
21	REPIC Oliver	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	4%	-
22	LI David	3%	20%	36%	29%	10%	2%	-
23	CHEN Jun Ho	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
23	HOOD Emery	51%	38%	10%	1%	-	-
25	MAHESH Tarun	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
26	IORIO Max	1%	5%	19%	34%	30%	10%
27	WONG King-Yee	9%	36%	36%	15%	3%	-
28	DUSSEAU Maddax	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%
29	BRADSHAW Carter	2%	17%	35%	31%	12%	2%	-
30	XIE Brandon	1%	8%	24%	35%	25%	7%
31	CHEN Leonardo	2%	16%	37%	32%	11%	1%
32	ORESKOVIC Olivier	61%	32%	6%	1%	-	-
33	MCWILLIAMS Miles	2%	15%	33%	33%	15%	3%	-
34	SONG Troy	-	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%
35	KRISHNAN Skanda	32%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
36	PANDALAI Aryan	17%	42%	31%	9%	1%	-
37	ZHAO Pierce	43%	40%	14%	2%	-	-	-
38	LAUER Benjamin	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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