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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HANDBERG Paul	-	-	-	4%	29%	66%
2	ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B.	-	-	-	1%	6%	32%	61%
3	ALVIOR Jacob A.	-	-	1%	13%	44%	42%
3	KOSSMANN Alexander	-	-	-	4%	19%	44%	33%
5	LEADBETTER Gordon	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
6	DUPREE Thomas	-	-	2%	23%	53%	22%
7	FULLERTON Joshua D.	-	1%	12%	35%	36%	14%	2%
8	YACCINO Nino	-	2%	10%	28%	38%	20%	2%
9	COMPTON Michael	-	-	4%	27%	42%	23%	4%
10	PINCKNEY John F.	-	-	4%	28%	68%
11	FREY Wayne N.	-	-	1%	7%	28%	43%	22%
12	CREMONA Diego Maria	-	-	1%	7%	27%	45%	20%
13	CREMONA Viola Maria	-	-	1%	10%	31%	41%	17%
14	DINKINS Adam	3%	20%	39%	28%	8%	1%	-
14	JOHNSTON Kellan	4%	22%	37%	27%	9%	1%	-
16	WOLF Christopher	1%	13%	35%	36%	13%	2%	-
17	FREEMAN Zachary	4%	27%	47%	21%	2%
18	REYES Ryan	-	1%	8%	25%	35%	24%	6%
19	NALLAMSHETTY Ayan	-	3%	24%	45%	25%	3%
20	RILEY Grace	11%	47%	33%	8%	1%	-
21	COVERT Benjamin	-	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-
22	BOLLE Elijah	1%	6%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
23	WEGMAN Jack	-	5%	26%	44%	22%	2%
24	LANGUASCO Michael	5%	27%	45%	23%	1%	-
25	MORERA Justin	2%	15%	34%	32%	14%	3%	-
25	KOTHA Maanas	-	4%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%
27	HEINZE Luke H.	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	22%	2%
28	MIA Raj	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-	-
29	CUEVA Viola	20%	53%	23%	3%	-
30	MCFARLAND John G.	1%	9%	36%	45%	9%
31	RASSEL John	24%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
32	RODDENBERRY Steven	-	2%	13%	29%	33%	18%	4%
33	CULLEN Reilly	30%	47%	21%	2%	-	-
34	ROZET Alice	28%	48%	21%	3%	-	-
35	MCCREARY Madeleine	13%	40%	35%	11%	1%	-	-
36	RIGGINS James	37%	44%	17%	2%	-
37	AGEE Brendon	1%	13%	35%	37%	13%	1%
38	WILFORD Madigan	29%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
39	BELL Adam	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
40	KOVACS Timothy	15%	39%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
41	FORTIER Adriana	51%	37%	10%	1%	-	-	-
42	WHITLEY Alexis	18%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
43	RODA Thaleia	11%	41%	36%	11%	1%	-	-
44	MORENO Mariapaz	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
45	EDWARDS Clayton	4%	25%	42%	25%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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