Garden State Trick or Re-Treat RYC/RJC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 8:30 AM

Sportsplex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
2 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
3 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
5 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
6 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
7 WANG Joanna 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
8 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
9 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
10 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
11 CASCONE Sophie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
12 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
13 ZHANG Zoey 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
14 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
15 LI Savannah 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
16 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
17 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
18 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
19 FEDER Acadia 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
20 HUSSAIN Maya 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
21 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
22 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
23 ALLEN Sophia 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
24 WAN Celine 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
25 WANG Selina 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
25 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
27 POTAVIN Corinna 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.