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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SRIVATS Vedh	-	-	4%	19%	41%	36%
2	CHAMBERS Miles	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
3	BAI Evan	1%	8%	27%	37%	23%	5%
3	ZHAO Royce	-	-	2%	13%	34%	38%	13%
5	OH Aster	-	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
6	YOOK Isaac	-	5%	24%	39%	26%	5%
7	LOO Jason	-	5%	22%	40%	29%	3%
8	NOVOSYOLOK Zachary	-	5%	20%	36%	30%	9%
9	PINTO Marcus	-	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	24%
10	DAI Zihou	-	-	4%	19%	43%	35%
11	CHENG Sawyer	9%	30%	38%	19%	3%	-
12	LAMTAN Christoffer	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%	1%
13	SADHU Neiyam	-	1%	8%	24%	36%	24%	6%
14	LIU Ryan	-	2%	9%	26%	36%	22%	5%
15	DOSTAL Maximilian	1%	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	1%
16	MARTINSON Torm	-	1%	9%	28%	38%	20%	3%
17	MIAO Heqi	-	3%	14%	35%	36%	11%
18	CHERNAEV Antonio	7%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%
19	MONELL Franics (Frank)	-	-	1%	9%	37%	52%
20	SO Dylan	8%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-
21	MERMEGAS Alexander	-	3%	14%	33%	35%	14%
22	JIN Louis	4%	22%	36%	26%	9%	2%	-
23	FOUX Jonathan	3%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%
24	AVERY Marcus	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
25	SONG Aidan	9%	29%	36%	21%	5%	-
26	AGARWAAL Yohan	-	4%	20%	39%	30%	7%
27	BIVIJI Adam	7%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-
28	LAU Kyrus	3%	17%	37%	31%	11%	2%	-
29	SHINCHUK Jacob	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-
30	ARVIND Adhijay	6%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%	-
31	LIN Brendan	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
32	ZHENG Hadrian	1%	14%	42%	33%	8%	1%	-
33	MHLEY Gavin	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-	-
34	BASRALIAN Joey	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%
35	ZHENG Hubert	-	1%	7%	32%	49%	12%
36	YURT Zihni	3%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%
37	YOUNG Parker	10%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-	-
38	DATTILIO Aidan	28%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
39	SO Morgan	5%	25%	37%	25%	8%	1%
39	OREN Daniel	12%	34%	35%	15%	3%	-
41	FRANCOIS Gabriel	6%	30%	39%	21%	5%	-
42	LVOFF Leo	45%	41%	13%	2%	-	-
43	CHAVAN Aditya	10%	32%	36%	18%	4%	-
44	CHAN Ewan	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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