AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, November 4, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG KEVIN 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
2 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
5 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
7 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
8 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
9 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
10 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
11 WATT Darren 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
12 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
13 PETERSON Matthew 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
14 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
15 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
16 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
17 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
19 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
20 LIU Noah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
21 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
22 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
23 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
24 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
25 LOFTUS Luca 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
26 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
27 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
28 LI Ethan R. 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
29 LEE Chun Po 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
30 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 99% 82% 41% 8%
31 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
32 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
33 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
34 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
35 ZHANG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
36 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
37 CHU Allan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
38 AYABINA JR John 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
39 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
40 KUO Rylan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
41 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
42 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
43 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
44 YU Austin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
45 DONDISCH ilan 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
46 MIAO KUNQI 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
47 LIU Yikun 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
47 ZHUANG William 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
49 YUEN Nathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
50 KIM Taeho 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
51 LEE Bryson 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
52 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
53 PRAKASH Hari 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
54 BURLING Trenor 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
55 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
56 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
57 BEAVER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 66% 24% 3%
58 BHARGAV Angad 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
59 CHOI Zachary 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
60 BHATT Arjun 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
61 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
62 CLAES Lucas 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
63 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
64 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
65 CHENG Trevor 100% 94% 55% 18% 3% - -
66 DU Peter 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
67 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
67 LI Yunji 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
69 LEE JiYuen 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
70 HUSTON Riley 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
71 SIM Ian 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
72 LAU Alex 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
72 WAI Andreas 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
74 LAI Alexander 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
75 WONG Ethan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
76 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
77 GOROZA Eric 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
78 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
79 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 58% 6% - - -
80 LI zerong 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
81 LAU Christian 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
82 HOLLAND Thomas 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
82 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
84 MILEY Walker 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
85 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
85 MARTIN Charles 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
87 BAKKEN Archer 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
87 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
89 LIANG Eric 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
90 BENNETT Peter 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
91 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
92 ZHOU Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 57% 16% 2% -
93 GENCHEV Madav 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
94 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
95 NG Biwon 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
96 REID Wesley 100% 54% 5% - - -
97 CHANG Kristopher 100% 94% 49% 12% 1% - -
98 SECONDINE James 100% 22% 2% - - - -
99 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
100 DROBSHOFF David 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.