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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUTHRA Arjun - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 MORALES Jonathan - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
3 HUANG Connor - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
3 KIM Ethan - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
5 WANG daniel - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
6 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
7 SAVOY Luca - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
8 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
9 BRANDT Jaden - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 11%
10 SUGIURA Samuel - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
11 HOPPA Luke H. - - 1% 8% 33% 43% 15%
12 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
13 TASIKAS Stylianos - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
14 WEBER Mattias A. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
15 LIN Maxim - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
16 GOLD Carter - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
17 GINSBERG Jordan - - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
18 HUROWITZ Max - 3% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
19 SMINK Oliver - 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
20 SHAH Sajan - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
21 TURCK Caspar J. - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
22 CHUNG Connor 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
23 LIU Kevin - - 4% 20% 43% 28% 5%
24 KATZ Ryan - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
25 BADUSHOV Anton 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
26 NGUYEN Anthony - 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
27 PERRON Robert - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
28 LEONARD Charles 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
29 SAHAY Kenji - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
30 RYAN Kai - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
31 NG Jonathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
32 ATWOOD Griffin 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
33 DEKA Tanush - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
34 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
35 DUMOULIN Gabriel 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
36 SHINCHUK Daniel 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2%
37 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
38 ANAND Sahil Z. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
39 DESAUTELS Connor 2% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
40 MATTOO Surya 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
40 JONES Elijah 5% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
42 MATTOO Deven 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
43 TSAO Oliver 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
44 TAUER Sam 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
45 DIMATTEO Michael 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
46 GRASSO Sebastiano 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
47 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 10% 41% 36% 11% 1% - -
48 KUMAR Arjun 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
49 KAUFFMAN James 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
50 KOVACH Jonah F. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
51 ALMEDA Stanislav 1% 16% 40% 33% 9% 1% -
52 SHELMIDINE Cole 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
53 LIN Philip T. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
54 LAUB William 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
55 HO Jacob 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
56 KALOUDIS Sean 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
57 CUSUMANO Neal 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 2% -
58 CAMPBELL Tobias 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
59 MUNGOVAN Matthew 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
60 MARGULIAN Grant 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
61 BONETTI Brayden 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
62 BEEBY PIERRE Wyatt 9% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
63 FISHER Paul C. 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
64 MAO Jeremy 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
65 YOSHEA Henry 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
66 XU Justin 7% 31% 40% 18% 4% - -
67 GUEVARA Alexander 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
68 SEN Christian 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
69 TSAO Alister 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
70 ANSARI Umayr 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
71 JACQUES Hugo 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
72 GITELSON David 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
72 BRUMBAUGH Alex 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
74 WEISS Toby 60% 34% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.