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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GHEDINI Luca	-	-	-	1%	10%	44%	45%
2	TAN Aidan	-	-	-	1%	6%	31%	62%
3	CHEN Kyle P.	-	-	-	3%	19%	51%	27%
3	GERRISH William	-	-	-	5%	21%	42%	31%
5	LI Bradley	-	-	-	-	4%	33%	62%
6	RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad	-	-	-	3%	18%	46%	33%
7	SURESH Rohan	-	1%	8%	30%	44%	17%	1%
8	HARRA Alexander	-	-	1%	8%	32%	46%	13%
9	CHO Xzander	-	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
10	ZHAO Adam	-	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
11	CHENG Logan	-	1%	5%	20%	36%	30%	9%
12	TANG Royce	1%	8%	28%	38%	20%	5%	-
13	MARTIN Darius	-	-	-	5%	24%	46%	25%
14	KO Caleb	-	1%	10%	33%	41%	13%	1%
15	FENG Michael	6%	27%	37%	22%	7%	1%	-
16	WANG Auther	-	1%	8%	25%	36%	24%	6%
17	TANG Terry	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	21%
18	BAI Brian	-	8%	27%	37%	23%	6%	-
19	YANG Dylan	-	4%	18%	35%	31%	11%	1%
20	RIPA Joseph K.	1%	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	-
21	LIU Eric	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
22	HWANG Harris	2%	12%	31%	35%	16%	3%	-
23	XU Nathan	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	3%
24	XIE Jicheng	-	1%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
25	TOOMRE Kai	-	5%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
26	ZENG Rick	-	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%
27	LEE Charles T	-	6%	23%	35%	25%	9%	1%
28	YANG Cooper	-	4%	17%	34%	30%	12%	2%
29	CHENG Austyn	3%	27%	39%	23%	7%	1%	-
30	TIBBETTS Justin	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
31	SUNDSTROM Wren	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
32	YAVENDITTI William	6%	26%	37%	23%	7%	1%	-
33	REYES Yannik	1%	11%	31%	38%	17%	3%	-
34	DAILEY Noah	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%	-
35	STAFFORD Gareth	5%	24%	41%	25%	5%	-	-
36	ONIK Ari N.	-	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	2%
37	WANG ZEYU	2%	16%	39%	33%	9%	1%	-
38	MENDEZ Ren	1%	15%	34%	33%	15%	3%	-
39	PETINO Leonardo	69%	27%	4%	-	-	-	-
40	WANG Luke	6%	26%	39%	23%	6%	-	-
41	QUAN Noah	27%	43%	24%	5%	-	-	-
42	YU Alan	2%	16%	35%	32%	13%	2%	-
43	WU Isaac	26%	44%	24%	5%	-	-	-
44	COVELL Saunder	17%	45%	29%	8%	1%	-	-
45	KRZYWON Dylan	25%	45%	25%	5%	-	-	-
46	DAO-CRESPO Joaquin	65%	29%	5%	-	-	-	-
47	HUANG Andrew	47%	42%	10%	1%	-	-	-
47	ARSHAD Mohsin	3%	19%	40%	29%	8%	1%	-
49	LIN Dexter	18%	44%	30%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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