The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 8:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
2 YOOK Isaac - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
3 SRIVATS Vedh - - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
3 DAI Zihou - - 5% 28% 45% 22%
5 CLARK Aram - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
5 CHENG Sawyer - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
7 SHINCHUK Jacob 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
8 MERMEGAS Alexander - 2% 17% 40% 33% 8%
9 LIU Ryan - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
10 LAMTAN Christoffer 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
11 SHAPIRO Simon 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3%
12 KARAVAS Nicholas 2% 12% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
13 ZHAO Royce - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
14 LOO Jason - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
15 LIEBOWITZ Carson 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
16 MAGITSKY Isaac 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
17 SAYAR Luke 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 8% 1%
18 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5% < 1%
19 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
20 SO Morgan - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
21 MHLEY Gavin 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
22 GERTSBERG Eli 4% 18% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
23 OREN Daniel 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
24 LEVIN Jacob - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
25 QASBA Rudrh - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
26 LORENZ Evan 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
27 GRIGORYAN Sevak - - 3% 13% 34% 38% 12%
28 SONG Aidan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
29 VIDREVICH David - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
30 TUNIK Joshuah 8% 38% 45% 8% 1% - -
31 SAGE Nikolai 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
32 MADHAVAN Arjun 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
33 KHANNA Adamantis - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
34 CHAVAN Aditya - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
35 GUPTA Arav 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
36 PEACE Samuel - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
37 CAREY Sam 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
38 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
39 FRANCOIS Gabriel 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
40 SO Dylan 1% 9% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
41 EARLEY Jack - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
42 LOSQUADRO Joseph 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
43 MARSHQUIST Miles 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
44 TULUPMAN Asher - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
45 HUANG Bret 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
46 SONG Nicholas 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
47 CRAWFORD William 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
48 WAXLER Alex 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
49 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
50 MONELL Franics (Frank) 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
51 CUSSON William 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
51 ZHANG Joseph 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
53 SAUVE Quinn 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
54 MENZIES Liam 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.