The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAUL Lila - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
2 MCKEE Brynnley - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
3 CHIANG Emily - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 MUND Ruth - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
5 YUAN Greta - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
6 FESTA Carina - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
7 JEONG Katie - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
8 CHIANG Melissa 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
9 YANG Ashley M. - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
10 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - - 2% 12% 40% 45%
11 NATH Trisha - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
12 LU Elaine - - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
13 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 6% 27% 46% 20%
14 GOMERMAN Sophia 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
15 MONTORIO Lily M. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
16 LIU Yifei - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
17 WEBER Juliana I. - - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
18 HILD Nisha - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
19 LOO Kaitlyn 2% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1%
20 ZHENG Valentina - 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
21 LUKASHENKO Angelina - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
22 ZHANG Sophie 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
23 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
24 NAYAK Esha 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2%
25 KHAN Alissa - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
26 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
27 MAKLIN Sofia - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
28 NAYAK Indra 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3%
29 CHOU Amy R. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% - -
30 MYAT Chloe - 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
31 CHARLES Caitlin 28% 45% 23% 5% - -
32 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. < 1% 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
33 YOUNG Audrey 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
34 SO Catelyn - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
35 YAN Lena 1% 30% 44% 21% 3% -
36 SHINCHUK Ellisha 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
37 LAGOON Miriam 4% 21% 38% 29% 9% 1%
38 BAWA Anahat - 17% 42% 32% 8% 1%
39 DAI Olivia 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
40 CHAVAN Arya 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
41 NEUMAN Ella 10% 40% 36% 12% 2% -
42 LI Alexis 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
43 BIRNSTILL Reese 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
44 MCKEE Ainsley 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
45 MALEK Zolie 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
46 MARGULIAN Maria 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
47 JOHNSTON Lily - 9% 34% 40% 15% 2%
48 FLATT Sophia 1% 15% 37% 34% 13% 2%
49 WOTZAK Kaia 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
50 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
51 OPITZ Allyson 72% 27% 2% - - - -
52 ATTIA Jasmine 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
53 AKULA Roszlynn 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
54 NAYAK Anika 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
55 HARRISON Allie 96% 4% - - - -
56 SULLIVAN Siobhan 77% 21% 2% - - -
57 TAYLOR Lindsay 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.