The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VINOKUR Anita 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
2 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 GONG Joy - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
3 KWON Ava - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
5 DUTA Lyra - 2% 17% 43% 32% 6%
6 IANNUZZI Lucy 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
7 WANG JiaQi 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
8 YERENKOVA Ameliia 12% 35% 36% 14% 3% -
9 GONZALEZ Veronika - 1% 7% 30% 49% 13%
10 LEOU Korina - 1% 7% 30% 46% 15%
11 FUNG Iris - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
12 HILD Anya 2% 18% 43% 29% 7% -
13 MELE Alexis 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
14 BROWN Aria 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
15 FOSS Persephone 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
16 CHERNY Sophia 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
17 SEO Kaitlyn - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
18 NEGROIU Mara 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
19 HO Sophia 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
20 NIU Jessica 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
21 WONG Charlene 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
22 NARAYANAN Sinduja - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
23 LEIGH Adalene - 4% 22% 44% 25% 4%
24 MAK Kaitlin - 2% 16% 44% 33% 5%
25 DEMRY Kylee 15% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
26 SONG Emily 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
27 YOON Sela - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
28 ZONG Eliane 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
29 PALEY Alisa 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
30 DESAUTELS Alexandra 1% 10% 37% 40% 11% 1%
31 GALLAGHER Isabella 42% 44% 12% 1% - -
32 SAGER Bianca 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
33 LOCHRIDGE Leah 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
33 MANNA Jane 14% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
35 BORDUCCI Madeleine 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
36 KNUPP Scarlett 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% -
37 YARLAGADDA Anya 2% 26% 42% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.