The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

7th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 19, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REYES Manuel - - - 1% 17% 81%
3 ANDRADE Eduardo - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 NIKOLIC Alexandra - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
5 LIAO Anthony - - - 3% 28% 68%
6 GUEVARA Isaac - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 2%
7 IRWIN Peter - - - 1% 12% 47% 40%
8 LOVE Georgina - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
9 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro - 2% 15% 40% 34% 8% < 1%
10 OROZCO Francis - 1% 8% 31% 44% 15% 1%
11 RODRIGUEZ Akemi - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
12 SMITH-MORALES David - - 7% 30% 43% 20%
13 PACILIO Jacob - 2% 13% 34% 37% 15%
14 DAFFRON Quintin - 1% 10% 39% 40% 12%
15 WU Velyn 3% 22% 45% 26% 5% -
16 WEGMAN Jack - 1% 11% 35% 39% 15%
17 HERNANDEZ Veronica - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
18 AGUILAR Eric 35% 44% 18% 3% -
19 GOEBEL Alexander - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
20 WEDDLE Carson - - 6% 34% 59%
21 EXNICIOS Rex 6% 28% 44% 22% 1%
22 GALLUCCI Julianna 1% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1%
23 STORER Alex - - 4% 19% 43% 32% 2%
24 JIANG Nicole 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
25 WU Anthony - - 2% 13% 38% 36% 11%
26 HERNANDEZ Melany 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
27 MILLETTE Brigid - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
28 LEADBETTER Gordon - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19% 1%
29 LIVINGSTON Sean 1% 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
30 DAFFRON Reese 1% 17% 42% 33% 7% -
31 CASEY Pierce 1% 11% 35% 39% 14% 1%
32 KUYLER Karl 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
33 CHOWDHURY Arman 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
34 ALIZO Diego 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
35 URIBE LEON Sebastian 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
36 MYNATT Marcus 1% 11% 36% 39% 12% 1%
37 PICKENS Grace 15% 48% 30% 6% -
38 RANDAZZO Nurin 44% 45% 10% 1% - -
39 NAMM Emily 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1% -
40 HUSSEY Aidan 6% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
41 GARCIA Ericka 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
42 BIWANG Aeron 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
42 TORNEY Genevieve 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
44 DASILVA Mia 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
45 BURMAN Timothy 1% 10% 40% 41% 8%
46 NGUYEN Leon 34% 46% 18% 2% - -
47 TORRES Alana 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
48 MORENO Mariapaz 49% 41% 9% 1% - -
49 KATSIONOVA Alisa 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
50 EXNICIOS Nancy 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
51 KARPF Jonah - 4% 18% 38% 34% 6% -
51 HOLMES Kaley 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
53 LEE Andrew 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
54 VASSALLO Angela 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
55 SANCHEZ Carlos 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
56 PENNER Charlie 36% 44% 17% 2% - - -
57 PROVOST Sebastian 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
58 WONG Grace 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
59 PENSYL Ethan 24% 49% 24% 3% - -
60 VILLALOBOS Ava 2% 15% 40% 33% 9% 1%
62 JAVATE Ryan 1% 8% 34% 42% 15% -
63 MACK Jacob 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
64 WEIHRICH Amber 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
65 DAY Noelle 6% 46% 37% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.