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December NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, December 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 IMREK Samuel A. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
2 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
3 TAFOYA Devin D. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
3 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
5 POPOVICI Michael A. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
6 SHELANSKI Isaac - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
7 IYOKI Kent - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 25% 14% 4% -
8 WHITE Sean - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
9 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
10 KRAFT Dennis A. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
11 NORTH Gary S. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
12 LEE Daniel Y. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
13 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
14 BORODITSKY Ethan - - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
15 SANDERS Ian W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
16 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 1%
17 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
18 LAWSON Henry A. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
19 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
20 GUO Austin S. - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 24% 21% 13% 5% 1% -
21 RODNEY Adam R. - - - - - - - 1% 5% 16% 31% 32% 14%
22 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
23 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
24 SAITOC Tudor - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
25 SHAH S Ayush - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
26 FRAY Alexander - - - 1% 3% 9% 20% 28% 24% 12% 3% -
27 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
28 TRAGER Matthew G. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
29 JOVANOVIC Jovan - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
30 PARK Ian C. - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
31 NOLLNER Dylan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
31 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 2% 7% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - -
33 SMOAK Omari Z. - - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
34 SILVERS Noah E. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
35 CIPRIANI Andrea - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
36 LAWSON Nicholas W. - 1% 4% 15% 31% 33% 15%
37 HAN Matthew - - - - 1% 3% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
38 RODNEY Maxwell - - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - -
39 DOSS David A. - - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1%
39 HILBERT Xavier - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
41 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 25% 11% 2%
42 WEISS Miles J. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
43 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 26% 29% 18% 5%
44 LIU Alexander - - - - 1% 3% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
44 IVAKIMOV Vasil - 1% 3% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
46 JIN Nicholas - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 7% 2% - - -
47 ULINICH Alexander 2% 9% 22% 28% 22% 12% 4% 1% < 1% - - - -
48 HE Lawrence - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
49 SMITH Dwight - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
50 MATTIS George - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - -
51 CARPENTER Liam - - - 1% 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 18% 8% 2% -
52 MARAKOV Allen B. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
53 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 7% 2% - - -
54 PISKOVATSKOV Anton - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 25% 13% 3%
55 LI Jesse - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 2% - -
56 FULLERTON Houston T. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
57 SMITH Nicholas S. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
58 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
59 CLICK Aiden - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% - - -
60 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
61 CHONG christopher 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
62 EMARA Omar 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% - -
63 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 26% 18% 7% 1%
64 YERGLER Jonathan A. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
65 WONG Chi Ho - 1% 5% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% - - -
66 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - 1% 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% -
67 JONES Simon A. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
68 KIM Dylan J. - 1% 5% 17% 27% 26% 16% 6% 2% - - - -
69 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% - -
70 SENNEWALD James J. - - 2% 7% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - -
71 LEE Shwan - - 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% - -
72 HENSAL Nicolas A. - - 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
73 MAZUR Daniil - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 11% 3% -
74 ZHAO Luhan 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - - -
75 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 1% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - -
76 BOYCE Samuel H. - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
77 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
78 HESSLEGRAVE Porter B. - - - 1% 5% 12% 20% 24% 20% 12% 5% 1% -
79 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 6% 18% 27% 25% 15% 6% 2% - - - - -
80 SINGHA Orion - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 15% 6% 2% - - - -
81 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
82 LIEF Isaac R. 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
83 KOBI Samuel - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
84 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 24% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
85 GANA Jr Jorge M. 3% 14% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
86 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% - - -
87 ROSTAL Scott E. - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - -
88 SHARMA Sanil - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 24% 19% 10% 3% 1% -
89 MACZIK Adam W. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
90 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 7% 19% 27% 24% 14% 6% 2% - - - - -
91 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - - - 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 12% 3% 1% -
92 BENACK Steven M. - - - 1% 5% 13% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% -
93 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% 1% -
94 PRASAD Ankith - - - 2% 7% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
95 YOUNG Peyton E. - - 2% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
96 KIM Dohyun - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 13% 5% 1% -
97 NIKOLOV Peter 6% 21% 30% 24% 12% 4% 1% - - - - -
98 NGUYEN Tate 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% < 1%
99 RHYU Kozmo - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
100 IMREK Elijah S. - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% < 1%
101 KIM Benjamin I. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
102 GOLDFINE Ian J. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
103 EKE Frank - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
103 ZHU Eric 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% < 1% -
105 LEE Noah - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
106 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
107 STEPHAN Jens - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
108 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
109 HILBERT Gabriel E. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
110 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
111 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
112 DIETZ Andor 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
113 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
114 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
115 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
116 JIN Owen - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
117 MCKEEVER Luca 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
117 GUINAN Joseph - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
119 WU Joseph - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
120 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
121 IARIKOV Nicholas 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
122 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
123 NORTH Alexander M. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
124 LO Jake 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
125 TIRRELL Justin J. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
125 SHIV Rishi - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
127 ZHANG Caden 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
128 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. - 1% 4% 19% 38% 33% 6%
129 LIU Kyle 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
130 LIN Kyran 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
131 PHUKAN Rohin 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
132 KANG Philip F. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
133 BEDOR William J. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
134 LOGUE Ethan D. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
135 SPIER Julian H. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
136 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
137 LEE Seungwon 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
138 DIECK Logan O. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
139 ROLLO Emmett H. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
140 ODEN Isaac M. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
141 DENNIS Ethan 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
142 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
142 YU Hunter 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
144 MA Victor 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
145 NIXON Christian A. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
145 JIN Daniel 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
147 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
148 PARK Elliot 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
149 PHAM Sawyer T. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
150 STRAUSS Luke 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
151 WRIGHT Christopher 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
152 AMELI Sean - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
152 CAI Brian 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
154 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
155 SU Caleb 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
156 SUVOROV Yuly 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
157 JOSEPH William 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
158 SPRINGER Michael 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
159 MUGA Boris 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
160 SHCHUR Landon 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
161 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
162 FREIMAN Samuel (Sam) E. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
162 CARRIER Gabriel A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
162 LEE Samuel Y. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
165 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
166 TSANG Gary - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
167 MISHIMA Torata 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
168 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
169 GYURE Brayden H. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
170 KATS Dylan G. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
170 WELDON Benjamin 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
172 HUSSAIN Kamran 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
173 MEHALL Michael - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
174 GULLO Kenji Y. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
175 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 1% 17% 36% 31% 13% 2% -
176 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
177 KIM Donghyeok 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
178 KUMAR Aidan 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
179 CHOI Mason - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
180 ELZAYN Hadi S. 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
181 DESTEFANO Julius 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
182 IRWIN Peter 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
183 JORDAN Anton 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
184 PRIHODKO Max 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
184 WANG DEVON 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
186 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
187 JOHNSTON Conner S. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
188 GAO Daniel 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
189 ZHANG YuJian 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
190 SMITH Justin C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
191 FU Leon 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
192 ELLIS Yehia S. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
193 DU SHUNYU K. 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
194 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
194 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
196 CHOI San 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
197 ZAYDMAN David M. 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
197 MENDOZA Zachari 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
197 SHEN Max 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
200 TRIMMER Colin 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
200 GALLANT Antoine 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
202 MARIN Lucas 12% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
203 LI Chenyu 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
204 PAN Tristan 18% 49% 26% 6% 1% - -
205 KIM William M. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 2%
205 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 3% 14% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
207 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
207 CHIN Dylan A. 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
209 ALVIOR Jacob A. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
210 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
211 CHIEN Zachary M. 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
211 COHEN Jared E. 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
213 GRAY Sterling B. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
213 SHA Michael 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
215 KIM Byung - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
216 GREGORY Abram 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
217 WU Jonathan 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
218 MUNLIN Donovan - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
219 BEZRODNOV Michael 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
220 HE Zhiheng 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
220 MURPHY Thomas P. 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
222 DOELEMAN zeno 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
223 SWANSON Lars M. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
224 CAO Albert 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
225 KHANNA Nikhil 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
226 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
227 FIECHTNER Thomas A. - < 1% 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
227 EVERS Gabriel 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
229 CHRISTENSEN Parker 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
230 GAINES Aaron 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
231 SPINA Joseph B. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
232 SLAVINSKIY Alan 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
233 KIM Sterling S. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
233 GAO Chaney C. 6% 22% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
233 MCMANUS Farran 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
236 CHIRASHNYA Adam 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
236 CHU Allan 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
236 GALLO James 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 9% 1%
239 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
240 CAO Brad 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
241 BEAVER Aaron 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
242 WATT Darren 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
243 POS Theo 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
244 SARKAR Anish 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
245 YAO Shun 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
246 ZHANG Nathan 33% 40% 20% 5% 1% - -
247 GIBSON Nowell L. - < 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
248 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
249 KIM Sullivan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
250 FULLER George K. < 1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
251 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
251 MING Nathan 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
253 KIM Darius H. 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
253 LEE Chun Po 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% - -
255 SINHA Zaan 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
256 CONVERSE Warren D. 8% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
257 MACK Jason A. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
258 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 53% 39% 8% 1% - - -
259 LEE JiYuen 81% 18% 2% - - - -
260 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.