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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, December 10, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - 5% 24% 45% 27%
3 SHOMAN Jenna - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
5 CODY Alexandra C. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
6 SHI Cathleen 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
7 VADASZ Ibla P. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
8 GOUHIN Chloe - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
9 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
10 ERIKSON Kira R. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% < 1%
11 BOIS Adele 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
12 LINDER Kara E. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
13 HILD Nisha - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
14 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
15 LI Amanda C. - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
16 YANG Ashley M. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
17 SAYLES Nina R. - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
17 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
19 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
20 MARSEE Samantha - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
21 KONG Vera - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
22 LI Anna M. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
22 GEYER Carolina M. 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
24 TURNER Zoe Y. - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
25 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
26 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
27 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
28 KER Grace - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
29 SZETO Chloe - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 4%
30 LIN Audrey J. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
31 CHIN Erika J. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
32 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
33 DUCKETT Madison - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
34 LUKER Sophia 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% < 1% -
35 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora - - - 2% 14% 39% 45%
36 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
37 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
38 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
39 LU Elaine 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
40 DUNGEY Amelia S. - 1% 13% 36% 37% 12%
41 LIU Sophie 1% 11% 32% 37% 18% 3%
42 BLUM Leah I. - 5% 26% 41% 24% 5%
42 ANDRES Katherine A. - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5%
44 NATH Trisha 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
45 DRAGON Rainer - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
46 JOHNSON Dagny L. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
47 GHAYALOD reya - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
48 JUNG Irene - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
49 MCKEE Brynnley 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
50 LU Amy 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
51 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
52 XI Shining 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2%
53 ZEGERS Anneke E. - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
54 WU Helen 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% -
55 HARRISON Imogen N. - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
56 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
57 SATHYANATH Kailing 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
58 LIAO Siwen 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
59 CHEN Xiaohan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
60 GHOSH Priyanka - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
61 VESTEL Mira B. 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
62 HUAI Delilah 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
63 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 10% 38% 36% 14% 2% -
64 XIAO julie 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
65 OLSEN Natalie J. 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
66 GORMAN Victoria M. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
67 SINHA Anika 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
68 NGUYEN Siena 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
69 HASSAN Aziza R. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
70 BUHAY Rachel T. 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
71 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - 4% 21% 40% 28% 7%
72 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
73 SOURIMTO Valeria 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
74 CHANG Audrey 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% 1% -
75 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
76 YODER Bridget H. 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
77 TONG Jessie 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
78 MULAGARI Sadhika 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
79 WEBER Juliana I. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
80 CHIANG Emily 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
81 MIKA Veronica - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
81 ATLURI Sara V. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
83 LEE Hannah 3% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
84 HE Charlotte 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
85 STONE Hava S. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
86 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
87 HWANG Gabriela M. 3% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1%
88 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
88 MUND Ruth 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
90 WEI Vivian W. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
91 PAUL Lila - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
92 KIM Marley I. 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
93 CHANG Emily 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
94 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
95 SO Catelyn 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
96 YANG Lea 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
97 MANSPERGER Leena 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
97 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 2% 14% 30% 31% 18% 5% -
99 ZHOU Jacquelyn K. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
100 LUKASHENKO Angelina 21% 41% 29% 8% 1%
101 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 2% 14% 38% 33% 12% 1%
102 SADOVA Olga 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
103 YUAN Greta 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
104 YAO Rainie 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
105 HUANG MADELINE 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
106 LIGH Erenei J. 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
107 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% -
108 BOYNTON Ainsley 68% 29% 3% - - -
109 ENDO Miyuki N. 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
110 JEONG Katie 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
111 CHIN Sophia J. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
112 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
113 SADIK HANA 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
114 WEI JoyAnn 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
115 CHEN Ashley 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
116 KHAN Alissa 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
117 MARYASH Samantha 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
118 WANG Zidan 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
119 WIGGERS Susan Q. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
119 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 44% 42% 13% 1% - -
121 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. < 1% 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
121 GRAFF Sophie 28% 45% 22% 5% - -
123 SCOTT Eve 37% 41% 17% 3% - - -
124 COLTER Aurora 42% 43% 13% 2% - -
125 LEE Sophia 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
126 LIU Zhi Jun 14% 53% 27% 6% - -
127 KALISOVA Kristyna 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
127 YU Zhiang 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.