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December NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Faith K. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 1% 16% 83%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
3 GU Sarah - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
5 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
6 XUAN Nicole J. - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
7 WATRALL Christina - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
8 KORFONTA Jolie - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
9 KIM Zoe L. - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
10 BEI Karen - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
11 WANG Elizabeth - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
12 YAO Melinda - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
13 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
14 HONG Elaine 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
15 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
16 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) - - 1% 8% 34% 46% 12%
17 HU Grace - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
18 XIAO Ruien - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
19 WU Fan - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
20 LIU Christina A. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
21 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
22 NGUYEN Kira - - 4% 23% 45% 24% 3%
23 LEE REGINA - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
24 KETKAR Mallika - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
25 ZHU Serene M. 1% 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
26 SMITH Grace L. - - 2% 15% 44% 34% 4%
27 LEE Michelle J. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
28 PAPADAKIS Lily - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
29 BECKMAN Ana 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
30 QI Jarynne Valerie 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
31 JOYAL Anne-Sophie - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
32 SWENSON Nikita G. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
33 MEHROTRA Anya - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
34 PEHLIVANI Zara - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
35 YIN Julia - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
36 CHIN Isabella - - - - 6% 33% 61%
37 REMEZA Alissa - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
38 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
39 LIN Waiyuk - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
40 KHARCHYNA Polina - 1% 5% 21% 40% 28% 5%
41 POIRIER Ariane - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
42 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
43 ZHANG Victoria R. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
44 ZUHARS Renee A. - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
45 MAO Amy - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
46 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - 5% 23% 39% 26% 5%
47 LAN Alice S. 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
48 ELSTON Sophia 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
49 LEE Sumin - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
50 FENG ge - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
51 SU Evelyn 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
52 LU Junyao - - 2% 14% 43% 36% 5%
53 SMUK Alexandra S. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
54 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
54 LUO Ashley - - 2% 15% 36% 36% 10%
56 PADHYE Tanishka - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
57 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
58 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
59 CHEN Lefu - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
60 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
61 TYLER Syd - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
62 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
63 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
64 MUELLER Emma M. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
65 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
66 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 7% 36% 57%
67 REID Sobia - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5%
68 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
69 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
70 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
71 SMOTRITSKY Mia - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 8%
72 WANG Karen - - - 1% 21% 78%
73 EDWARDS Auprell - 1% 7% 33% 52% 8%
74 LEE Olivia 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
75 LEE Natasha - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 7%
76 LONADIER Keira - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
77 POTAPENKO Margarita D. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
78 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
79 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
80 CALDERA Lexi I. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3%
80 RUNIONS Emersyn - - 6% 24% 43% 25% 2%
82 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 2%
83 NING Emma - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
84 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10% 1%
85 RANDLEMAN Teresa - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
86 LIU Nicole - 5% 29% 44% 19% 3% -
87 FURMAN Maria 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
88 YOU Emily 1% 7% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
89 LEUNG Natalie - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
90 KUMAR Eva 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
91 BARON Sabina 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
92 GUJJA Misha 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
93 LEEDER Elizabeth 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
94 DOUGLAS Julia F. 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
95 NGUYEN Tallulah - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
96 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
97 ZENG Katrina 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
98 FREEMAN Kate 22% 44% 27% 6% - -
99 YANG Alisa - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
100 KIM Jayna 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
101 DAHER Yasmine 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
102 KALE Anika A. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
103 YOUNG VIVIAN 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% - -
104 WITTER Catherine A. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
105 LI Alisha - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
106 DUMAS Marie 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
106 FERNLUND Helen 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
108 PRIHODKO Nina 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
108 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
110 LU Samantha R. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
110 XIONG Angelica 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
110 ZHANG Yixuan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
113 LIN Elaine - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
114 SHU Youshan 1% 10% 32% 37% 16% 3% -
115 YU Nicole J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
116 MUN Brianna K. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
117 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
118 PINNAMANENI Drithi 1% 9% 32% 43% 15% 1%
119 CHANG Celine A. 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
120 LI Judy - 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
121 NEISINGH Isabelle 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
122 PHUKAN Indra 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
123 SONG Angela 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
124 DESAI Meera P. - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 6%
125 AI Amy 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
125 CHENG Katherine 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
127 SENYUVA Su 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
128 LEE Olive - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
129 YAO Yilin 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
130 GAO Judy 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
131 LEE Yedda - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
131 CARRIER Meredith 2% 16% 38% 33% 9% 1% -
133 MISHIMA Audrey 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
134 SHARMA Sanvi 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
135 WITTE Vera - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
136 LIN Ashley 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
137 HICKS Grace 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
138 LEE Rachel 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
139 BUSH emma 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
140 FAN Elizabeth 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
141 CANNING Charlotte 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
142 GEVA Eliana 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
143 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - < 1% 3% 15% 40% 42%
144 LEE Samantha X. 9% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
145 WONG Alexandra R. - 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
146 CHERNIS Zoe C. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
147 GUESNARD Maelig 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
148 CHI Chelsea 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
149 MENDOZA zoie 13% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
150 BEAVER Ava 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
151 GORNOVSKY Abigail - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
152 KORKIN Alice 1% 10% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
153 CHIRASHNYA Noya 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
153 DUONG Zoey 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
155 LI Suri 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
156 RUSSELL Alison 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
157 LENDIS Gabrielle 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
158 ANDERSON Claire 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
159 TRAN Helena 39% 42% 16% 2% - -
160 JAKEL Alysa C. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
160 LIANG Jingjing 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
162 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
163 HUANG Lanlan 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
164 SHIV Avni 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
165 LI Clara 10% 36% 40% 14% 1% -
166 LIU Baihan 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
167 HSIU Elizabeth 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
168 CHOI Grace 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
169 MARTYNOVA Diana 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
170 BROWN Riley 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
171 CHUANG Ramona 46% 40% 12% 1% - - -
171 CHA Eugenie 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
173 MARTIN Adriana 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
174 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 2% 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
175 WANG Angelina 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% 1% -
176 LEWIS Rachel 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
177 DAYAL Saahira 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
178 TANG Elaine 32% 51% 15% 2% - - -
179 TONG Lauren 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
180 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 1% 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
181 ROMERO KURI Celeste 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
182 DU Shunyi（Wendy） 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
183 KENT Elizabeth J. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
183 HAU Olivia 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
185 MULAGARI Swarasai 63% 31% 6% - - -
186 LI Fei 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
187 YIN Gabriela 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
187 SCANLAN Claire 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
189 YAO KATHARINE 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
190 BLANCO Ariia 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
190 PULLARA Ashley 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
190 TAMBELLINI Savannah 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
193 CHIRASHNYA Mika 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
193 DONDISCH Andrea 44% 46% 10% 1% - - -
195 SALISTRA Emilia 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
196 MEWES Katie M. 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
197 FONG Carys 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
198 NGUYEN Ella 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
199 ANDREWS Katherine 73% 24% 3% - - - -
200 YOUSSEF Caroline 87% 13% 1% - - - -
201 CONNOLLY Natasha 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.