The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NEUSFA ONLY, JO Junior (U20) Qualifiers

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen - - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 MCDERMOTT Brian - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 SIMPSON Patrick - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
3 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
5 JIANG Ryan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
6 LAI Boden - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
7 LAI Aedin - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
8 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 4% 29% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
9 JOSLIN Tyler - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
10 BEALS Alden - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
11 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
12 MASSE Jack 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
13 XIE Brandon - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
14 MACNEILL Owen 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
15 OSTIGUY Cameron - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
16 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
17 WANG Justin - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
18 MEN Junda 28% 45% 22% 5% - -
19 QUINLAN Sean 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
20 ZHANG Roland 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
21 SONG Troy 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
22 JACKSON Nicholas 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
23 KUBATIN Anton V. 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
24 REINEKE Alexander 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
25 SAULSBERRY Saliim 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
26 FEINBERG James Y. 52% 38% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.