The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 9:00 AM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
2 WU Alber Y. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 12%
3 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
5 YANG Charles - - - 5% 21% 46% 27%
6 ZHANG Jacob - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 YUE Jackson 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
8 FUKUDA Brando - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
9 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
10 CHEN Hanson - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
11 CHAN Joseph - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
12 LU Kevin - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
13 CHENG Logan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
14 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
15 YOON junhyeok - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
16 DENG David - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
17 TSAY Jordan R. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
18 DESERANNO Leander - - - 3% 16% 46% 35%
19 ZHAO Nathan - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
20 CHANG Jonathan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
21 RAUTUREAU Arthur - - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
22 YU ZiRun (Kinton) - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
23 LIU ERIC - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 21%
24 PARK William - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
25 BIELER Mason - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
26 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 6%
27 ONG Nicholas - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
28 YOON Aiden - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
29 CHOI Benjamin - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
30 WONG Jacob W. - 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
31 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
32 CHANG Jeremy - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
33 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
34 CHEN Matthew - 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
35 DHOKTE Neev - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
36 CHUANG Oscar - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
37 ZHONG Maxwell 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
38 YOU Alan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
39 PLUMMER Waylon 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
40 TAN Pyron 1% 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
41 WU Thomas 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
42 LATORRE Leonardo 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
43 KIM Andrew 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1% -
44 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
45 CHEN Anson 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
46 QU Zhida (richard) - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
47 HE Gary - 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
48 CHEN Jason 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
49 JIN Xuechong Daniel - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
50 LI Lucas 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
51 ALKADI Zain - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
52 POPOKH Luca 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
53 RAU Shogun 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
54 MO Chris 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
55 KUANG Cyrus 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
56 GRIGORIEV Michael - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
57 BANUELOS Dario 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
58 HE Ian 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
59 WANG Alekai 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
60 ZENG Albert 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
61 ALKADI Deen 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
62 YANG Steve 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
63 FOY Grant 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
64 YU ShiLin (Harry) 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
65 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 11% 45% 33% 9% 1% - -
66 HUYNH Matthew 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
67 MIRZA Aarish 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
68 PARK Andrew 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
69 LEE Euan 15% 38% 32% 13% 3% - -
70 CHIANG Aiden 31% 46% 19% 4% - - -
71 SANDEEP Varun 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
72 DLUTOWSKI Zachary 60% 34% 5% - - - -
73 TEOH Liam 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
74 DIMINO Kartik 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
75 YANG Gavin 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1% -
76 YE Jerry 13% 46% 31% 9% 1% - -
77 LEE Joshua 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
77 QIU Yiran 61% 33% 5% - - - -
79 DLUTOWSKI Alexander 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
80 OZCAN Archer 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
81 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
82 SLAIN Owen 27% 46% 22% 5% - - -
82 WU James 2% 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
84 LI Jonathan 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.