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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 2:30 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 LIN Elaine - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
3 KANG Ellie - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 CONG Anne 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
5 ZHAI AMY - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
6 FUNG Iris - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
7 SUNG Isabella 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
8 TONG Laurie - 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
9 ZHU Avril 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
10 BAERENWALD Welles - 1% 6% 28% 46% 19%
11 ZHU Elaine - 1% 6% 23% 40% 28% 4%
12 GAY Sasha - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
13 KWON Hannah 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
14 SUNG Olivia 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
15 KU Alathea-Joy - 3% 20% 39% 29% 7% -
16 SENGUPTA Jia - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
17 WANG Jiayi - 3% 14% 31% 34% 17% 2%
18 MOON Claire 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
19 HU Ashley 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
20 XIAÖ Cindy 22% 47% 26% 5% - -
21 IPE Anjali 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
22 ZHANG Olivia - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
23 SEO Yunseo 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
24 YE Madeleine 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
25 YUEN Nicole 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
26 JOSHI Samika - 4% 20% 39% 30% 5%
27 ROBBINS Adele 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
28 TREJO Lucia 24% 48% 23% 5% - - -
29 KO Ariel - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
30 CHACKO Anne 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
31 CHERON Helene 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
31 KIM Grace < 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
33 LEE Chaewon 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.