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January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
3 CHEN Andrew - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
6 CHEN Yi-Tung - - - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 8% 2%
7 LOUIE Bryce - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
8 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
9 HUANG Dongrong - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% - -
10 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
11 MATHIEU Adam - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
12 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
13 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
14 DANIEL Ashton - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
15 DORITY Philip S. - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 29% 21% 8% 1%
16 CHEN Ziyuan - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
17 PAIK Joon K. - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
18 BRAVO Kenji U. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
19 KASI Sanjay - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 1% -
20 KIM Yonjae - - 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1% -
21 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
22 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
23 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 5% 15% 26% 27% 18% 7% 1% - -
24 BROSZUS Blake J. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
25 LEE Jacob J - - 1% 6% 17% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1% -
26 WANG Brian S. - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 27% 16% 5% -
27 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 3% 10% 22% 28% 23% 10% 2% -
28 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
29 CHEN Allen 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
30 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
31 CERVANTES Diego - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
32 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - -
33 KAO Castor T. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
34 BOURTIS James S. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
35 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
36 KELLY William J. - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
37 OURSLER Jack 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
38 UM Ethan A. - 2% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
39 BAS Liam - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 28% 21% 10% 2% -
40 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 26% 32% 21% 5%
41 SINGH Dayaal - - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
42 DICKSON Farr R. - - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
43 VOGLER Justin K. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 2% -
44 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - 3% 10% 20% 25% 21% 13% 5% 2% - - - -
45 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - - - 1% 5% 14% 26% 30% 19% 5%
46 SONG Leonardo T. - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 14% 5% 1% - -
47 LIU Patrick - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 4% -
48 LYU Weiqiao Victor - - 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - -
49 EMMER Chase T. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
50 VAZQUEZ Zander - 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - -
51 KIM Nicholas W. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
52 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
52 STANLEY Mason B. - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
54 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - - - - - - 1% 5% 15% 28% 30% 17% 3%
55 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
56 LO Conrad 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
57 WONG Adam L. - - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% -
58 GOOR Julian 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
59 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 26% 30% 20% 6% 1%
60 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 7% 2% -
61 LI Richard 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
62 DESANDO Michael R. - 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - -
63 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 1% 4% 10% 20% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
64 LEE Chris 2% 9% 21% 28% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - - - -
65 PETER Griffin - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 2% - - -
66 ZHANG Andy W. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
67 ONIK Elijah T. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% - -
68 GRIFFITH JACK - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 24% 21% 12% 5% 1% - -
69 LI Owen - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% - -
70 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - - 2% 9% 20% 28% 25% 12% 3% -
70 LOCKWOOD Owen - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
72 LIU Niles J. - - - - 2% 8% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% -
73 BAE Kevin - 1% 3% 11% 22% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - -
74 LI Raphael C. - - 1% 3% 11% 22% 27% 22% 11% 3% - -
75 HU Oliver W. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
76 YOONG Hans - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
77 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
78 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
79 LEE Aidan - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - -
79 JI Aidan Y. 1% 6% 18% 28% 26% 15% 6% 1% - - - - -
81 KIM Ryan Y. 2% 10% 24% 29% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - -
82 CHEN James P. - < 1% 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
83 YU Vinni - - - - 2% 7% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% -
84 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - - 1% 4% 13% 25% 30% 21% 7% -
85 KNIZHNIK David - 3% 13% 26% 29% 19% 8% 2% - - - - -
86 WOO Christian 1% 8% 21% 29% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
87 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 3% 1% - -
88 MOHAMED Amir - 1% 6% 16% 26% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
89 BALL James T. - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 24% 16% 8% 2% - - -
90 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
91 DIERKS Kian 1% 6% 18% 29% 26% 14% 5% 1% - - - -
92 ZHANG Luke T. - 3% 10% 22% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
93 SHIN Philip D. - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
94 PELOSKY Zack B. - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - - -
95 SONG Aiden S. - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
96 OH SEAN 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
97 KAISER Hans Z. - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
98 WELCH Kyle J. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
99 BURKE Spencer W. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
100 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
101 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
102 LOPEZ Carlos D. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
103 XIAO Enoch A. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
103 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
105 SUNG Chang-Han S. 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
106 AHN Jun - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
107 SONG Bryan 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
108 KIM Brandon J. - - 4% 18% 40% 31% 7%
109 BANERJEE ANUP - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
109 LI Wangjie - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
111 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4%
112 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1% -
113 BING Charles - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
114 TEMPLE Jackson 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
115 XIAO EDWARD - 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
116 HAINES Ethan 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
117 ADLER David R. - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
117 HE Xiangrui 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1%
119 SISINNI Riccardo 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
120 PYO Michael M. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
121 LU Yikai 4% 32% 41% 19% 4% - -
122 AYUPOV Ilya - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
122 SIMA Congyu Josh 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
124 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
125 JANG Jaewon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
126 BERMENDER Cameron - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
127 CAO Leon M. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
127 SCHENCK Koen M. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
129 GODZHIK Zachary - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
130 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
131 WU Nicholas 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
132 CANLAS Nathan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
133 COELHO Cristiano P. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
133 HAY Gavin - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
135 LUH Ethan K. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
136 IVERSON Shane D. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
137 SHA Yi Peng 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
138 YANG Adam - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
138 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
140 KLOTZ Isaiah 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
141 TAHOUN Mostafa 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
142 HO Ryan J. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
142 KO Brian J. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
144 ZOBEL Eric H. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
145 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
146 SICHITIU Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
147 RANADIVE Rishi R. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
147 DINSAY Kristjan 4% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
149 CANO Marcos E. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
150 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
151 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
152 KEE Andrew L. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% -
153 FUKUDA Alessio R. 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
154 LIN Michael 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
155 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 1% 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
156 LEWIS Akhil 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
157 LI Matthew 4% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
158 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
159 JAIN Aditya 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
160 DU Samuel R. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
161 CHENG Jonathan 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
162 WILLIAMS Connor J. 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% 1% -
163 LI Edward 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
164 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
165 SEZER Kaya - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
166 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
166 MUSHER Benjamin J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
168 LEE Jacob 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
169 DIVITO Dylan - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
170 WONG Adrian 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
171 LEWIS Paul D. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3%
172 MOHAMED Murad 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
173 SHAFAIE Ali - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
174 LAO Scott E. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
175 LI Eric 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
176 JIANG Owen 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
177 PO Oliver 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 7% 1%
178 DEGROOT Blake 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
179 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
179 GONG Benjamin 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
181 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
182 ZHAI Jeffrey - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
183 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
184 WONG Garrick G. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
185 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
185 WYMAN Julian - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
187 NUNNINK Phillip W. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
187 DESHMUKH Arjun 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
189 HUTH Jacob - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
190 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
191 BURBERRY Alan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
192 LIMA Kevin M. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
193 SLEDESKI Andrew - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
194 TRAUGOT Owen G. 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
195 WU Alexander 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
196 TANG Owen S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
196 HSIUNG Richie 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
198 CLAYMAN John A. 37% 45% 15% 2% - -
199 HOLMES Stuart S. - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
200 ORONOWICZ Jakub 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
201 REYES Omar 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
202 HOWELL Ryan L. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
203 NAGER Noah 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
204 TSAO Lukas 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
205 MYERS Dean 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
206 ZHENG Alan H. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
207 DORAN Wesley C. - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
207 ORR Spencer 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
209 HU Robin 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
210 FINLEY Dylan 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
211 DETERING Julian 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
212 BARTEL Jacob L. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
213 OLSON Pel R. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
214 KNOEPFFLER Alex 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
215 SAGE Michael P. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
216 RUFFNER Blake W. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
217 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
218 LEVESQUE Louis 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
219 YOON DYLAN 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
220 CANNON Caiden C. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
221 BELLUOMO David C. 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
221 GATRELL Mitchell E. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
223 DOBBINS Evan W. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
224 CHAN Matthew 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
225 TANG August L. 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
226 TANG Albert 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
227 ELKOUSY Laith H. 3% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
227 LANG Dong Lin 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
227 UPTON Craig 32% 45% 20% 3% - -
230 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
231 HOBSON Aaron K. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
231 ROSE Ben 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
233 ZHAO Bowen 60% 33% 6% - - -
234 PARK Jason B. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
235 ZHANG Yun Isaac 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
236 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
237 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
238 ZHAO Jason L. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
239 PALMA Matthew Dominic 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
240 DAVIDSON Elliot 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
241 TAN Christien 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
241 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
241 MCISAAC Finn 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
244 PETERS Nathan M. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
244 JAUME Andrei 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
246 MURRAY Maximo 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
246 YAP Nathan 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
248 KIM Aiden 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
249 KANAR Ian 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
250 LEWIS Jared 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
251 SHEPHERD Conner M. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
252 GRISWOLD Abel B. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
252 DORE Davis 12% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
254 CONVERSE Warren D. 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
255 WONG Antonio 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
256 MCCORD Clark 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
257 EDWARDS Maxon 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
258 SPROWLES Cameron D. 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
258 MOORE Jeremy S. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
258 REEVES Liam 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
261 SANTOS Carlos R. 70% 26% 4% - - - -
261 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
263 BOUIE Jacob 6% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
264 KUZMAK Michael J. 36% 44% 16% 3% - - -
264 ALONSO Vinicius 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
266 FORTUNE Alexander J. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
267 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
268 FLYNN Ian 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
269 LIM Lance Jeremiah 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
270 GNEUHS Sam 70% 26% 4% - - - -
271 SEAL Maximus R. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
272 GOGOI Vir K. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
272 IVANENKO Alex 77% 21% 2% - - - -
274 KUSHNIR Aden N. 43% 41% 13% 2% - - -
275 PRASANNA Advaith 50% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.