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January NAC

Vet-60 Men's Épée

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DRAGONETTI Walter E. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 FRANK Fred - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
3 HUGHES Michael D. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
3 JENSEN David - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
5 AMELI Sean - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
6 GLASS Timothy C. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 7%
7 O'DOWD Andrew J. - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
8 DELGADO Jr. Eli M. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
9 MASE James B. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
10 VARNEY John R. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
11 ALEXANDER Chuck - 5% 24% 39% 26% 5%
12 WATRALL Rick - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
13 HAYENGA Gary M. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
14 MAZZOLI Julio C. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
15 KAROLAK Dale W. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
16 BAXTER Daniel J. - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
17 SEGAL Mark N. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 RICHARDS Dick - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
19 MARIANI Lou - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
20 RANES Evan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
21 DARRICAU Henri J. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
22 POPPRE Michael N. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
23 HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
24 HANAHAN Thomas M. - 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
25 SZOKOLAY Robert E. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
26 WHEELER Mark C. 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
27 DOWNEY Gerard C. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
28 WAGMAN Robert S. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
29 FANGMAN Daniel L. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
30 EVANS Allen L. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
31 SWANSON Dave 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
32 DICKSON Tim 15% 38% 32% 13% 2% -
33 KLEIN Johannes 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
34 POOLE James M. 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
35 MARSHALL William L. 4% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
36 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
37 HUNKER Frederick 36% 45% 16% 2% - -
38 KRUGER Mark 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
39 NEALE James H. 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
40 GROSS Louis A. 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
41 BALESTRACCI Chris 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
42 SCOTT George R. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
43 MONES Robert (Bob) J. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
44 LIPTON Michael D. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
45 PETRUNCIO Emil 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
46 SWANN William A. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
47 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 24% 48% 23% 5% - - -
48 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
49 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 6% 33% 39% 18% 4% - -
50 SIMMONS Matthew C. 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
51 TIERNEY Luke 23% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
52 MARKOWITZ William M. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
53 HVIDING Ketil 67% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.