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January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. - - - - 2% 24% 73%
2 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
5 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - - 3% 24% 72%
6 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
7 KOGAN Benjamin 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
8 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 1% 14% 51% 34%
9 COHEN Josef A. - - - 1% 10% 47% 42%
10 LIMB Matthew G. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
11 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
12 LILOV Neil - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
13 YEN Darren - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
14 KIM Brian S. - - 2% 10% 34% 45% 8%
15 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 4% 15% 29% 32% 17% 3%
16 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 5% 34% 61%
17 REN Junming - - - 4% 21% 50% 25%
18 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
19 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
20 BIVINS III George A. - - 2% 10% 31% 43% 15%
21 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
22 DODRILL Grant - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
23 DODDO Andrew - - - - 4% 27% 69%
24 GEFELL Andrew P. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
25 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
26 DESROSIERS Olivier - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
27 ROBERTS Sam 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
28 WOOD Elden S. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
29 CHON Taylor A. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
30 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
31 LINSKY Matthew - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
32 PRICE Jack S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
33 ARFA Fares - - - - 3% 22% 75%
34 DHINGRA Gian K. - 4% 21% 39% 28% 6%
35 NADILE Henry V. - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
36 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 4%
37 MOON Sean H. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
38 QIU Nathan 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
39 MORRILL William - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
40 ESCUETA Tony V. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
41 POPE Nico 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
42 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
43 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 9% 31% 46% 13%
44 ZU Kevin - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
45 GANTA Vijay 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
46 KIM Matthew 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
47 KIM Shaun M. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
48 FIELDS Malcolm D. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
49 BERMAN Luca 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
50 REN James 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
51 ERMAKOV Lev 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
52 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
53 DENNER Lysander H. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
54 JIANG Anthony - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12% 1%
55 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
56 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
57 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
58 FENG Leo 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
59 BERGER Oliver 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
60 HOLZ Daniel - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
61 BOOTH Zaheer - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
62 MICHELL Bailey 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
63 LI Minghan 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
64 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 11%
65 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - - 10% 89%
65 WU Roger (Mengke) - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
67 YUN Jaesun - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
68 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
69 GORDON Shaul - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
70 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
71 WALKER Dalton F. - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
71 BAE Jason I. 4% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
71 WESTERN Rafael - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
74 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
75 KUSHKOV Daniel 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
76 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
77 ZHANG Derek 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
78 MICLAUS Justin 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
79 PRIEST Leighton K. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
79 LEE Aydan J. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
81 XU Andrew 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% - -
82 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
83 ZUBATIY Samuel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
84 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
85 KIM Alexander M. 5% 26% 39% 24% 5% - -
86 DENNER Maximilian P. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
86 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
88 JEFFORDS Alexander - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
89 RIGHTLER Samuel 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
90 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
91 MAKLIN Edward P. 4% 20% 39% 30% 8% -
92 PANDEY Neil 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
93 NAZLYMOV Andrei 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
94 FOTIYEV Alan R. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
95 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
96 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
97 CHAN Matthew 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
97 PENG Bryan 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
99 TAO Jeffrey 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
100 ZHOU Matthew R. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
100 HOLZ William A. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
102 TENG MATTHEW 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
103 LUEBBE Macklan C - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
104 CHAVES Matthew J. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
105 PAN Alex 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
106 BARTOLO Domenic V. 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
107 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
108 HAN William 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
109 SMITH David C. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
110 BARNETT Adam 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
111 NOBLE Colin 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
112 LAI Adam J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
113 ATTIG Will T. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
114 SO Hananiah 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
115 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
115 WANG Nicolas 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
117 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
118 ZENG Noah 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
119 WOODWARD Dylan P. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
120 MCCARTHY Gabriel 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
121 STONE Esmond A. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
122 HO Kaden M. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
123 MORALES Jonathan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
124 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
125 WESLER Logan A. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
125 LIM William J. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
127 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
128 ZHANG Ethan W. 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
129 MARGULIES William 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
130 XU Ryan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
131 LIN Daniel 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
132 TONG ZACHARY - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
133 GUZZO Vito 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
134 LUO George F. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
135 PI Alexander 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
136 HANEY Vincent 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
137 HOUTZ Jackson 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
138 LE Hayden 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
139 GLOZMAN Justin 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
140 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
140 KOTOV Leonid 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
142 LIANG Connor - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
143 CHEONG Heonjun 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
144 SHOMAN Noah 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
145 GAO Albert 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
146 DIACOS Jordan 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
147 BURR Tanner B. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
147 SHOMAN Zachary 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
147 WANG Robert 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
150 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10% 1%
150 WOODWARD Connor 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
152 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
152 CHEONG Heonjae 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
154 YANG Ziyi 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
155 GHENEA George Philipe 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
155 SCHARDINE James 26% 43% 24% 6% - - -
157 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
157 WAXLER Seth B. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
159 REN Richard 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
160 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
160 VO Minh Q. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
162 HUSSAIN Faaris - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
162 BULL Anderson 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
164 MORRILL Justin 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
164 DENG Andrew 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
166 REYES Xavier M. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
167 LEE Justin - 3% 14% 29% 33% 17% 3%
167 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
169 CHTERENTAL Alex 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
170 FALLICK Ozzie 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% -
171 WITEK Bernard J. 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
172 LO Konnor 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
173 MORRIS Samuel A. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
174 PATIL Aaryan A. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
175 DILLREE Spencer S. 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
176 HONG Steven 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
177 YEN Preston 13% 42% 33% 11% 1% -
178 XU William 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1% -
179 BEITEL Noah 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
180 NOBLE Daniel 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
181 GHAYALOD ansh 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
182 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
183 DRESSELL Wiley 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
183 WONG Ryan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
185 HUANG Ethan F. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
186 SKINNER Graham B. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
186 OH Triton 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
188 MEHTA Sachin N. - < 1% 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
188 BARBER William S. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 8% -
188 TANN Justin 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6% -
191 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
191 RAMANAN Jaisimh 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
193 XUE ALEXANDER 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
194 HAN Daniel Y. 9% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
194 HONG Rubin 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
196 BRAR Sanjeet 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
197 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
197 KIM Andrew H. 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
197 KASPER Aaron 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
200 CORTEZ Christopher 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
200 CADAMBI Roshan 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
202 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
203 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
204 CHEN Evan P. 15% 38% 34% 12% 1% -
205 COLE Alexander 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
205 DUDNICK Christian 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
207 LUTHRA Arjun 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
207 ZHOU Miles 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
209 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
210 ALOJIPAN Jaydon 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% - -
211 ZHU Charlie 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
212 BONSELL Vance 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.