Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PROFIS Liora - - - - 5% 31% 63%
2 LEE Yeriel - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
3 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - 1% 5% 20% 40% 34%
3 QI Julieanne - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
5 PETROFF Eva - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
6 NEELAM Navya - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
7 LIN Laura - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
8 MA Sophie - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
9 SCHMITT Harper - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
10 KANG Yenna - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
11 WRIGHT Madison - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
12 STERN Savannah - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
13 TAM Connie - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
14 LI Alice - 1% 8% 30% 41% 20%
15 BOROTKO Katerina - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
16 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena - 1% 8% 30% 42% 17% 2%
17 LEE Gloria - - 1% 9% 33% 48% 9%
18 GANSER Nicole - - - 4% 22% 45% 27%
19 KROPP Anne - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
20 WU Michelle 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
21 CHEN Alina - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 9%
22 MARTINEZ Christina - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
23 WONG Sydney 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
24 HLYNKA Marta - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
25 ZHONG Evelyn 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
26 WANG Ziqiao - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
27 ADYANTHAYA Anika 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
28 YAO Chloe 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
29 WU Madisen - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
30 PEI Claire 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
31 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
32 CARCELLER Bernardita 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
33 VOSKOV Olivia 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
34 WEI Sherry - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
35 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 6% 1%
36 KELLEY Elise 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
37 DHAIYA Tanya 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
38 BI Michelle - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
39 LEE Kate 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
40 JEYOON Lauren 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
41 CHAKRAPANI Tara 7% 36% 39% 16% 3% -
42 CAO Carolyn 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
43 RAMEY Alexa - 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
44 STEMPKOVSKA Dina - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
45 NATHAN Ariel 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
46 JIANG chenxi 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
47 MUZAFAROVA Sofiya 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
48 MISHIMA Olivia 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
49 DESAI Ela 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
50 OLELE Ifechi 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
51 LUO Helen - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
51 BURT Emmalyne Grace 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
53 BUNCH Halle 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
54 WORKNEH Lulit 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
55 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
56 LIANG Angela 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
56 OLUYOLE Isabella 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
58 NAPOLI Eleanor 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
58 NGUYEN Renee - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
60 POZAS Vida 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
61 LIU Addison 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
62 D'ANGELO Olivia 2% 21% 41% 28% 8% 1%
63 BABCOCK Alana 12% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
64 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
65 TAYLOR Reagan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
66 MEGGERS Arya 20% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
67 GAN Shelby 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
68 YANG Angela 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
69 MADDOX Elle 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
70 CHEN Stephanie 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
71 GORDON Hannah - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
72 XIAO Katelyn - 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
73 BUNCH Helena 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
74 LI Nicole 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
75 MORET Teagan 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
76 PERERA Chloe 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
77 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 64% 30% 6% - - -
78 SUN Milly 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
78 HAN Emma 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
80 SLEPNEVA-SOKOLINSKAYA Daria 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
81 ZOGRAFOS Marina 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.