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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WITTER Catherine A. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
2 YANG Alisa - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
3 BECKMAN Ana - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
3 ZHAN Nancy - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
5 LEE Scarlett - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
6 ZHU Serene M. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
7 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
8 TANG RUIRUI 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
9 PINNAMANENI Drithi - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
10 ZANGA Kaitlyn - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
11 AZMEH nour - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
12 JAKEL Alysa C. - 1% 8% 31% 45% 15%
13 YOU Emily - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
14 MONOVA Lilyana - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
15 SUN Zeyu - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
16 CAFASSO Natalya - - 2% 14% 52% 32%
17 NGUYEN Ashley L. - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
18 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - - 3% 20% 46% 32%
19 LIN Elaine - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
20 SHIV Avni - - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
21 KUMAR Anusha - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
22 DEPOMMIER Isabelle - - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
23 CARRIER Meredith - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
24 PEELER Julia - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
25 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
26 LIU Baihan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 QIU Emily - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
28 LU Samantha R. - - 1% 10% 45% 44%
29 CHANG Chloe 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
30 MALLAVARPU saanvi - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
31 MISHIMA Audrey 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1%
32 LUO Amy - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
33 ZUCKER Emily A. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
34 WALTER Anna 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% -
35 LEE Claire - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
36 SOBUS Yanka - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
37 JOHNSON Merit 5% 25% 42% 25% 4% -
38 BARDIN Kira 15% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
39 LY Hannah 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
40 VICKERMAN Sofia - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
41 GUJJA Misha - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
42 BAWA Jenya 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
43 MAHMUD Subaita 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
44 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
45 GAVASHELI Margarita 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
46 KIM Kailyn 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
47 WONG Caitlin - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
48 ILYAS Ayah 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
49 MCKENNA Analise 14% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
50 BO GENESIS 13% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
51 HOAGLAND Sally 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
52 LEEB Zoe 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
53 GUAN Isabella - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
54 VICKERMAN Aspen 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
55 YOU Isabel B. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
56 HU Chelsea - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
57 COLELLA Lauren 14% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
58 CHUANG Ramona 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
59 LIU Nicole - < 1% 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
60 NGUYEN Ella - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
61 NIX Reagan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
62 GLAZ Alison 36% 45% 16% 2% - - -
63 MUELLER Kaitlin 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
64 BROOKS Taylor 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
65 ALAWNEH Leen 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
66 VICKERMAN Lilly - 1% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1%
67 WANG Sijia 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
68 WANG Zoe 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
69 JI Catherine 1% 12% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
69 RITTER Brooklyn 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
71 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
72 MURPHY Katherine 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
73 TANG Elaine 3% 19% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
74 ANAR Yesui 21% 55% 21% 3% - - -
75 NOH Rachel 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
76 KRISHNA Rithika 28% 47% 21% 3% - - -
77 KENNEDY Shea 60% 36% 4% - - - -
78 MAGALSKI Mary 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
79 ANAR Yesugen 29% 44% 22% 4% - -
80 GAN Shelby 34% 44% 19% 3% - -
81 SANTORO Chloe 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.