The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

The Battle At The Beach

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Ocean Center Convention Center - Daytona Beach, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
2 MARISI Gabriel - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
3 BELOVOLOV Fedor - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 BRITTNELL Nicolas 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
5 PARK Jubin 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
6 LIM EUNSEONG 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
7 PERSAUD Adi 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
8 BJORN Eric - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
9 QIAN Henry - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
10 HUYNH Matthew - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
11 BARRERA Marcelo - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
12 CAMPBELL Christopher - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
13 GILCHER Lucas - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
14 ZHOU Alex 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
15 DAFFRON Griffin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
16 ZENG Albert 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
17 MARCUS Vincent 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
18 MORRISON Kieren - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
19 AZAR Julien 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
20 KOE Declan 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
21 SUMMIT Fin - 2% 21% 44% 30% 4%
22 ROHDE Trent 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
23 MAZZUCA Gianluca 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
24 KARLEKAR Ved 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
25 WALKER Edward 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
26 KOVACH Graham 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.