The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 ANAND Rohan - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
3 BRANDT Jaden - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 LIN Maxim - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
5 BERA Enzo - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
6 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
7 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
8 SAGE Sebastian - - 1% 8% 32% 44% 15%
9 LIU Kevin - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
10 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
11 NGUYEN Anthony - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
12 BUIKEVICH Ihnat - - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
13 LAUB William 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
14 CLARK Aram - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
15 BONETTI Brayden - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
16 ANAND Rishab - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
17 URSU Marcel T. - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
18 OH Aster - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
19 CHUNG Connor - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
20 PEREIRA Beckham - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
21 OLOUGHLIN Quin 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
22 AO Christopher - - 5% 22% 42% 26% 4%
23 ALLARDYCE Graham - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
24 NAYAK Surin K. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 17% 1%
25 LEE Andrew - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
26 TSAO Oliver - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
27 PINTO Marcus - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
28 LEE Griffin 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
29 DE SIENA Salvatore 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
30 SAKAYEDA Jacob - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
31 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% -
32 SASSI Ilyas 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
33 MATTOO Deven - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
34 WITCZAK Mateus - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
35 MONTALVO Matthew 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
36 VILEMAITIS Tadas 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
37 BROENING-CHAI Jonas - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
38 ALLARDYCE Lachlan - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
39 TANG Shu Hon - - 1% 8% 28% 45% 18%
40 SHINCHUK Daniel - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
41 WAXLER Ryan - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
42 AYDOGDU Hakan 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
43 LIGH Checed - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
44 WONG Caleb W. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
45 DEELY Hartigan - 1% 11% 36% 37% 13% 2%
46 GOMEZ Emilio 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
47 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
48 ZHANG Ray 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
49 PORTER Dupree - 1% 8% 32% 40% 17% 2%
50 PRIEUR Christian F. 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
51 BALE Atman 4% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
52 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
53 CHANG Timothy 7% 34% 40% 16% 3% -
54 TSAO Alister 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
55 GERTSBERG Eli 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
56 UEMOTO Ken - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 3%
57 CHEN Jonathan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
58 SHAH Sohan 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
59 ONG Dylan - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
60 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
61 SHAPIRO Simon 3% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
62 JIANG Terence 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -
63 VOHRA Ekam 26% 50% 21% 3% - - -
64 TSATSAS Andreas 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
65 BHANDARE Niev 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
66 LIU Andrew 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
67 MARTINSON Torm 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
68 KENNEDY Tomás 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
69 MAGITSKY Isaac 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
70 GORDON Samuel 9% 33% 37% 18% 3% -
70 CRAWFORD William 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
72 DIGIACOMO Dennis G. 1% 10% 32% 39% 15% 2% -
73 SARWAHI Viraat 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
74 JAIN Karanvir 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
75 CAREY Sam 4% 24% 45% 23% 5% - -
76 CHEA Caden 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
76 HU Jayden 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
78 SHINCHUK Jacob 10% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
78 PATEL Arush - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
80 TAYCHER Aaron 5% 29% 42% 20% 4% -
81 MIR Alexander 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
82 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
83 MILLET Etienne 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
84 CUSSON William 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
85 MADHAVAN Arjun 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
86 SHEYNZON Benjamin 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
87 FARBER Jake 64% 31% 5% - - -
88 SUH Leo 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
89 LOSQUADRO Joseph 38% 44% 16% 3% - - -
89 TSAI Kai-An 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
91 TUNIK Joshuah 11% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
92 GRAVES Connor 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
93 BUDAEV Artem 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.