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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 2:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 1% 14% 46% 39%
2 KHAN Alissa - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
3 FESTA Carina - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 GOMERMAN Sophia - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
5 LEE Sophia - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
6 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
7 KANDADAI Lara - - 5% 26% 45% 21% 3%
8 LAURI Keira 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
9 BERMAN Greta - - 3% 18% 38% 33% 8%
10 FEIG Sela - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
11 MALEK Zolie - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
12 ZHANG Sophie - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
13 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - - 2% 14% 41% 44%
14 MONTORIO Lily M. - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 5%
15 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
16 SCOTT Eve - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
17 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
18 MARYASH Samantha - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 MUND Ruth - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
20 GUVEN Coco - - 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
21 OBRADOVIC Ana - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
22 YU Zhiang - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
23 CHIANG Melissa - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
24 LIU Kelly 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
25 DAMBAL Sasha - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
26 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 3% 23% 49% 25%
27 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
28 CHAVAN Arya - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
29 DONG Angel - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
30 NAYAK Esha - - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3%
31 YOUNG Audrey - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
32 MYAT Chloe - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
33 CHEN Jessica - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
34 WANG yining - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
35 PROBASCO Leila - 3% 24% 45% 23% 4% -
36 LIGH Erenei J. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
37 KNOBEL Sophia - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
38 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
39 YAN Lena - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
40 HU Anna - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
41 ATTIA Jasmine - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
42 KHOST Maeve 1% 14% 42% 31% 10% 1% -
42 SHMULER Fiona 36% 41% 18% 4% 1% - -
44 ZENG Sarah - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
45 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
46 CHOU Amy R. 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
47 SPEARS Mya B - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
48 ONG Lauren 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
49 LI Alexis 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
50 DAI Olivia - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
51 GUGALA Hanna 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
52 KHERA Anya 47% 46% 7% - - - -
53 MAGITSKY Leila 4% 27% 46% 20% 3% - -
54 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - 7% 42% 38% 11% 1% -
54 BAIREDDY Maya 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
56 BUSH Bethany 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
57 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 3% 19% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
58 CHAN Madeleine V. 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
59 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 11% 36% 36% 14% 3% - -
60 HORVITZ Jacqueline 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
61 NAYAK Antara 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
62 BAWA Anahat - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
63 SVENSSON Siri Lin 35% 48% 16% 2% - - -
64 BAINS Nandini 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
65 LAMEDICA Ava 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
66 VISWANATHAN Nishka 45% 44% 11% 1% - - -
67 CHO Kaeli M. 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
68 XU Demi 22% 50% 25% 4% - - -
69 RESTREPO URREGO Laura - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
70 ALAMI Amira 32% 50% 17% 2% - - -
71 TU Sadie 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
72 SULLIVAN Siobhan 41% 47% 11% 1% - - -
73 TAYLOR Lindsay 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
74 KONNIKOV Esther E. 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
74 BORGUETA Madison 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
76 YAO Annabelle 35% 49% 14% 1% - - -
77 ROHATGI Saanvi 37% 53% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.