The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 4:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
2 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
3 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
5 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
6 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
8 SMINK Oliver 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
9 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
10 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
11 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
12 GOLD Carter 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
13 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
14 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
15 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
16 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
17 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
18 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
19 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
20 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
21 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 26%
22 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
23 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
24 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
25 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
27 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
28 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
29 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
30 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
31 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
32 SIMMONS John M. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
33 LUCAS Hayden 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
34 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
35 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
36 BUCK Maximilian 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% < 1% -
37 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
38 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 99% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
39 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
40 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
41 KIM Theodore 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6% -
42 MARGULIS Jared 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
43 SEN Christian 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
44 MATTOO Surya 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
45 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
46 VOSS Jeffer 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
47 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
48 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
49 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
50 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
51 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
51 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
53 BONETTI Brayden 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 4% -
54 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
55 JONES Elijah 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
56 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
57 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
58 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
59 KESSLER Nathan 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
60 AO Christopher 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
61 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
62 MATTOO Deven 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
63 WAXLER Ryan 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
64 KULKARNI Rohan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
65 DEKA Tanush 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 46% 6%
66 LIGH Checed 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
67 LEE Anderson 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
68 PERRON Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
69 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
69 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
71 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
72 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
73 TSAO Oliver 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
74 TANG Shu Hon 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
75 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 66% 17% 2% - - -
76 TSAO Alister 100% 77% 27% 5% - - -
76 XU Justin 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
78 WONG Caleb W. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
79 BEEBY PIERRE Wyatt 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
80 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
81 OH Aster 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
82 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
83 HERR Gabriele 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
84 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
85 LAUB William 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
86 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
87 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
88 KAUFFMAN James 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
89 LIU Isaak 100% 98% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
90 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 95% 58% 19% 3% - -
91 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
92 ZISLIN Benjamin 100% 63% 15% 1% - - -
93 CAMPBELL Tobias 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
94 XIA Eric 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
95 GUEVARA Alexander 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
96 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
97 ORAL Derin 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
98 FERTIL Ethan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
99 CHEN Derrick 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
100 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
101 FISHER Paul C. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
102 LAI jake 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
103 BRUMBAUGH Alex 100% 19% 2% - - - -
104 TUNG brandon 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.