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Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, February 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Anthony - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 CHON Taylor A. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 KIM Alexander M. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
5 WANG Robert - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
6 YUN Jaesun - - - - 3% 25% 72%
7 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
8 ERMAKOV Lev - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
9 WILSON Jude - - - - 4% 28% 68%
10 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
11 FENG Leo - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
12 HOLZ Daniel - - - - 5% 31% 63%
13 CHOI Silas - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
14 QIU Nathan - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
15 LUTHRA Arjun - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
16 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
17 DEPEW Spencer - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
18 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
18 MICLAUS Justin - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
20 REN James - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
21 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
22 OH Triton - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
23 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
24 STURN Oliver - - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
25 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
25 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
27 BERRIO Carter E. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
28 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
29 STONE Esmond A. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
30 PANDEY Neil - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
31 KWALWASSER Eric - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
32 GLOZMAN Justin - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 9%
33 ZUBATIY Samuel - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
34 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
35 LUO George F. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
35 DENG Andrew - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
37 HONG Steven - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
38 LIM William J. - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
39 CHAN Matthew - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
40 GAO Albert - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
41 LEE Aydan J. - - - 2% 13% 42% 42%
42 BROU Inkosi - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
42 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
44 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
45 KANG evan R. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
46 SHOMAN Noah - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
47 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
48 WANG Nicolas - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
48 AVAKIAN Alec - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
50 HOLZ William A. - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
51 SIMAK Joseph P. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
52 BOSITA Carson - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
53 WANG Eric Y. - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
54 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 2% 12% 29% 36% 18% 3%
55 HJERPE Wade H. - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
56 CRAIG Samuel - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
57 DUDNICK Christian - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
58 HU Christopher - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 5%
59 VAID Luke - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
60 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 3% 18% 38% 33% 8%
61 DALAL Rohan 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
62 LI Yiwei - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
63 TAO Jeffrey - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
64 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
65 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
66 XU Andrew - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
66 SUGIURA Samuel - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
66 PAN Alex - - 6% 23% 40% 26% 4%
69 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
70 SU Landon - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
71 WAXLER Seth B. - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
72 HAO Anwen - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
73 AKS Ari - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 1%
74 TIAGI Daniel 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
75 SAVOY Luca - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 4%
76 GUFFEY Christopher - 2% 19% 44% 31% 5%
77 POSY Daniel - 3% 33% 43% 18% 2%
78 BAE Jason I. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
79 YUN Jake - - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
80 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
81 LIN Daniel - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
82 ZHANG Derek - - 2% 12% 37% 42% 8%
83 KUMAR Sachit - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
84 CHEONG Heonjun - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
84 GUAN Dennis - 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
86 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
86 CHEN Evan P. - 2% 9% 25% 36% 24% 4%
86 BYON Adrian - 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
89 LO Konnor - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
90 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
91 KILARI Krish - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
92 HUANG Alexander C. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
93 BYON Julian - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
93 YE Eric 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
95 KILGALLEN William - 1% 8% 27% 41% 20% 3%
96 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
96 PATIL Aaryan A. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
98 LAU Justin Y. - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
99 LUHAN Zachary 2% 14% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
100 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
101 NG Jonathan 1% 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
102 PENG Bryan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
103 WANG daniel - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
104 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
105 PERRON Robert - 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% -
106 SINGH Angadh - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3%
107 LO Bradley 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
108 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
108 HUANG Alex F. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
110 CHAN Aidan - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
111 MAY Griffin M. - 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
111 LEE Noah - 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
113 GONG Jerry - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
114 VELTZ Tyler J. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
115 PI Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
116 VOSS Jeffer - 7% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
117 RAMANAN Govind - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10% 1%
118 VAUGHN Jason 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
119 MATTOO Surya 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
120 HUBLALL Ethan 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
121 MUNGOVAN Matthew 5% 26% 43% 22% 4% - -
122 BERA Enzo - 2% 18% 42% 32% 6%
123 ERMAKOV Semeon 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
124 JOO Jeein - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
125 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
126 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
127 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
128 KATZ Ryan 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
129 PATEL Rayn - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
130 BRAKEY Ryan 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
131 LI Howard - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
132 ZHAO Lucas 1% 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
133 KIM ELIJAH 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
134 TASIKAS Stylianos 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
135 GINSBERG Jordan - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
136 CHUNG Connor 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
137 ZHANG Ethan W. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
138 DEKA Tanush 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
139 GOLDIN Lucca 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
140 TUNG Ryan 12% 43% 34% 10% 1% -
141 KROON Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
142 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
143 THORNHILL Kwasi - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
144 FELDMAN Drew - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
145 FIRSTMAN William B. 1% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
146 KO Zuriel 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
147 MATTOO Deven 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
148 WEBER Mattias A. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
149 HWANG Jayden 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
150 BOULAIS Andrew D. 2% 32% 42% 20% 4% - -
151 ROE Finnegan - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
152 WALKE Devin 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
153 NIETO Titus P. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
154 BARRIOS Diego 1% 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
155 VENU Ram 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
156 FOX Gavin 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
157 LESUEUR Luke J. - 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% -
158 GIANETTO Ethan K. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
159 SO Preston 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
160 SHIPITSIN Alexander 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
161 LIN Felix 1% 23% 44% 26% 6% - -
162 ZHOU James Y. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
163 SAHAY Kenji 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
164 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
165 HUROWITZ Max 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
166 SHANKAR Karthik 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
167 ZHENG Edward L. - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
168 HUANG Connor - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
169 GAUVEY Kieran 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
170 KESSLER Nathan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
171 HOTHA Nikhil 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
171 WANG Zhuoyi - 2% 19% 46% 28% 5% -
173 RYABKOV Stanislav 9% 35% 38% 15% 3% - -
174 LUCAS Hayden 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
175 WU Richard 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
176 DOWNEY Baran 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
176 MUNGUIA Nathan - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
176 PATRICO Peter 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
179 OKEEFE Mitchell 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
179 HAN Edward - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
181 LIU Kevin 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
182 WITCZAK Mateus 15% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
183 MEYERSON Jacob 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
183 GOLD Carter 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
185 LIGUORI Michael 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
186 YANG Dylan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
187 DECK Tyson 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
188 FERGUSON Constantine 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
189 HO Jacob 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
190 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
190 ANAND Rohan - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
192 RODRIGUEZ Erik 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
193 BHATIA Ekam 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
194 TSAO Oliver 3% 33% 41% 18% 4% - -
195 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
195 YAN Kevin 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
197 PERRY Gwydion 67% 29% 4% - - - -
198 POFF Kainoa 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
199 LIN Philip T. 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
200 HENDERSON Jack 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
201 RODGERS Jacob 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
202 NGUYEN Anthony 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
203 GAO Marcus 1% 9% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
204 WAGNER Elijah 73% 24% 3% - - - -
205 FAYETTE Julien 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
206 YERRAMILLI Tejas 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
207 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
208 LEE Thomas 87% 13% 1% - - -
209 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
210 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
211 AUTREY Adrien 42% 45% 12% 1% - - -
212 KERCHER Alexander 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
213 CHAN Henry 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
214 MOL Justin 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
215 XU Ivan 21% 53% 22% 3% - - -
215 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 57% 36% 7% - - - -
215 FANG Eason 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
218 EYBELMAN Ariel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
219 HUNG Samuel 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
219 LICHTERMAN Jakub 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
221 GONZALEZ Jake 15% 47% 30% 8% 1% - -
222 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
223 FLUECKIGER Michael 3% 24% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
224 ZHOU Grant 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
225 SHAH Sajan 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
226 ATWOOD Griffin 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
227 JOHNSON Kai 60% 33% 6% - - - -
228 HALL Noah 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
228 JAIN Aniket 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
230 PATNAIK Eshaan 4% 32% 39% 20% 5% - -
231 GRASSO Sebastiano 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
231 HUA Michael 8% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
233 CHUA Jared 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
233 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
235 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
235 BECHTEL Trent 2% 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
237 SEELMAN Cole 69% 28% 2% - - - -
237 WELLER Noah 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
239 BROWN Oscar 24% 50% 22% 4% - - -
240 KIM Theodore 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
241 LAUB William 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
241 COURTIN Frederic 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
243 SMINK Oliver 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
243 OLARIO Raphael 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
245 CHOI Benjamin 23% 46% 26% 5% - - -
246 CHEN Jeremy 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
247 STOLL Fuller 56% 38% 6% - - - -
247 MENG Michael 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
249 KIM Evan 27% 50% 19% 3% - - -
249 ENRIGHT Isaac 82% 17% 1% - - - -
251 TSAI Michael T. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
251 WANG Max 8% 39% 37% 14% 2% - -
253 MCGUIRK Malcolm 5% 73% 20% 2% - -
254 CHAN Elliott 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
254 STORER Julian 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
254 MATTINGLY Ian 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
257 WEBB Kian 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% - -
258 SHINCHUK Daniel 2% 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
258 AISSIS John G. 91% 9% - - - - -
260 BARROWS Hunter 71% 26% 3% - - - -
260 RIDEOUT aiden 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
262 LEITE Antonio 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
263 WILLIAMS Eric 74% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.