Junior Olympics

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, February 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - - - 9% 90%
2 KELLY William J. - - - - 3% 30% 67%
3 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 2% 28% 70%
3 YANG Luao - - - - 4% 31% 65%
5 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
6 UM Ethan A. - - - - 3% 29% 68%
8 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
9 KAO Castor T. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
9 JEON Caleb A. - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
9 LI Richard - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
12 BRUK Peter J. - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
13 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 1% 8% 42% 50%
14 WU Alexander - - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
15 BAS Liam - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
16 ONIK Elijah T. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
17 KIM Yonjae - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
18 SIU Aiden - - - 4% 26% 49% 20%
19 GOOR Julian - - - 2% 15% 46% 36%
20 LIN Dashiell - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
21 KWON Ethan - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
22 MIALL Steven A. - 5% 26% 43% 22% 4%
23 KIM Brandon J. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
23 LI Owen - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
25 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - 1% 9% 34% 43% 14%
26 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
27 YU Vinni - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
28 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 13%
29 DAI Jonathan T. - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
30 AHN Jun - - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
31 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
32 LEE Aidan - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
33 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 15%
34 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
35 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
35 CULLIVAN Justice - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
37 SONG Aiden S. - - - 6% 28% 45% 21%
38 LEE Jacob J - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
39 TANG Owen S. - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
40 LUH Ethan K. - - - 3% 22% 51% 23%
41 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
42 ZHANG Andy W. - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
43 SONG Leonardo T. - - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
44 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
45 OURSLER Jack - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
46 JIANG Owen - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 6%
47 PELOSKY Zack B. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
48 KIM Nicholas W. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
48 COELHO Cristiano P. - - 1% 11% 37% 43% 9%
50 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
51 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
52 ZHENG Alan H. - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
53 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
53 GONG Benjamin - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
55 KIM Jackson - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
56 SINGH Dayaal - - - 2% 27% 71%
57 LEVY Jacob M. - - 1% 15% 49% 35%
58 SHA Yi Peng - - 2% 23% 59% 16%
59 GODZHIK Zachary - - 1% 7% 31% 52% 10%
60 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
61 LI Eric - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
62 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 6% 26% 43% 23% 2%
63 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
64 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
65 LO Conrad - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
66 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
67 MA Andrew - 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
68 HUTH Mitchell - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
68 LEWIS Akhil - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
68 DAVIDSON Elliot - 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
71 LEE Jacob - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
72 OH SEAN - - 2% 15% 39% 34% 8%
73 BALL James T. - - - 5% 32% 50% 12%
74 BAE Kevin - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
75 SICHITIU Alexander - - 2% 15% 40% 36% 6%
76 LE Jacob W. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
77 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2%
78 STRAYER Andrew - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
79 WOO Christian - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
80 XIAO EDWARD - 1% 7% 30% 47% 16%
81 DE COQUET Maximilian 1% 9% 46% 37% 7% -
82 JAIN Aditya - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
83 GRIFFITH JACK - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
84 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
85 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 10% 34% 45% 10%
85 CO Dylan - 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% -
87 DIERKS Kian - - 2% 17% 40% 33% 7%
88 BING Charles - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
88 KNIZHNIK David - - 3% 20% 42% 30% 5%
90 REALS Alden D. - - - 3% 19% 48% 29%
90 LI Matthew - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
90 KIM Ryan Y. - - 3% 17% 42% 31% 7%
93 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 5% 24% 43% 25% 2%
94 CANLAS Nathan - - 6% 27% 43% 23% 1%
95 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
96 ROSE Ben - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 3%
97 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 3% 20% 43% 28% 5%
98 KOBAL Maximilian - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
99 CHENG Nathan - 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
99 MYERS Dean 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
101 DORAN Wesley C. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
102 LI Raphael C. - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
103 PALMA Matthew Dominic 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2% -
104 BANERJEE ANUP - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
105 TIKHAEV Alexander - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
106 WYMAN Julian - - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
107 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 11% 33% 41% 13% 1%
108 LI Avery Peihong 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
109 LI Matthew 1% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
110 ACHILOV Sayid - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
111 JITTAN daniel - 6% 27% 43% 21% 3%
112 PO Oliver - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
113 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - 3% 18% 42% 32% 4%
114 NGUYEN Liam 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
115 MUSHER Benjamin J. - 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2%
116 LIN James G. - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
117 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 18% 2%
117 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
119 CHENG Matthew S. - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
120 SHEPHERD Conner M. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
121 ZENG Lucas H. - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
121 CORTRIGHT Skipper 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2% -
123 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - 2% 17% 50% 28% 3%
123 WONG Garrick G. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13% 1%
125 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 3% -
126 HOSKERI Anik S. - 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
127 PONS Diego 10% 36% 40% 13% 1% - -
128 FINNEY Lorenz 6% 45% 37% 11% 1% -
129 WANG Winston - 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% < 1%
130 KUO Evan - 5% 24% 42% 25% 5%
131 SISINNI Riccardo - 1% 6% 25% 40% 23% 4%
132 FUKUDA Diego 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
133 KIM Andrew J. - - 5% 30% 53% 12%
134 KO Brian J. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
134 HAN Lawrence - 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
136 JI Aidan Y. - - 8% 32% 42% 16% 1%
137 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10% -
138 DINSAY Kristjan - 6% 25% 38% 25% 5% -
138 ZHAO Bowen 5% 32% 41% 19% 3% - -
140 HSIUNG Richie - 1% 13% 36% 36% 12% 1%
141 TANG August L. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
142 SAGE Michael P. - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
143 MIN Eric - 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 2%
143 YOON DYLAN 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
145 RASMUSSEN Sage - 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
146 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
147 CAPRA Ethan 2% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
147 SONG Austin 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
149 SUNG Chang-Han S. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
150 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
151 DETERING Julian - - 6% 27% 43% 23% 1%
152 MA Bryant 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
153 OH Jaden 1% 9% 33% 43% 13% 1% -
154 LIU William 55% 37% 7% < 1% - -
155 SHAGIDANYAN German 4% 26% 46% 22% 3% -
156 MILLER Aidan A. - 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
157 LIN Michael - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
158 LEE Jonah - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
159 LEE Christopher T. - 7% 33% 40% 18% 3% -
160 KIM Daniel Y. 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
161 LI Arvin - 1% 14% 41% 35% 9% 1%
161 YEE Johnathan 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
163 WANG Ethan - 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
164 GATZA Logan - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
165 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
165 DEDENBACH Joseph 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
167 HUANG Eythan 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 4% -
168 LEE Chris - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
169 SONG Bryan - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
170 WU Alistair 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
171 SIMA Congyu Josh - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
171 NGUYEN Martin 1% 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
173 CHENG Jonathan - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
174 LAM Nicolas 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
175 BERK Theodore - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
175 SEAL Maximus R. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
175 TANG Albert 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
175 KRYLTSOV Michael - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
179 WECHSLER Jacob - 4% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
180 SRINIVASAN Vedant 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
181 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
182 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
182 YAP Nathan 1% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
184 KIM Derek A. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12% 1%
184 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
184 LOVIN Vlad 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
187 RYOU Andy 3% 26% 44% 22% 4% - -
187 KIM Jonah 42% 46% 11% 1% - - -
189 SANTOS Carlos R. 2% 21% 49% 24% 4% - -
190 SHANKS Aidan T. 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% - -
191 DERRICK Blake 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
192 TRUBETSKI David 2% 26% 54% 17% 1% -
193 LI Aaron 7% 32% 41% 17% 2% -
194 BALDWIN Benjamin 44% 47% 9% - - -
195 REYES Omar - 5% 27% 47% 19% 2%
196 GUO Justin - 2% 20% 56% 21% 1%
197 CHESSA Giovanni 13% 47% 33% 7% - -
198 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 3% 18% 42% 29% 7% 1%
199 GUO Sean 1% 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
200 TSAY Jeremy M. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
201 YAO Bradley - 8% 42% 37% 11% 1% -
202 FINLEY Dylan 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
203 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 1% 12% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
204 LING Eddie 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
205 PARK Sky 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 1% -
206 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 2% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
207 FLYNN Ian 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
207 BAEK David 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
207 GOGOI Vir K. - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
210 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
210 JIMENEZ Lukas - 3% 17% 40% 31% 8% 1%
212 WU Lucas 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
213 BARTEL Jacob L. - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
214 KALIPERSAD Neil A. - 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
214 LLIDO Soren - 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
214 LO Preston 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
217 TONKOVICH Ryan 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
218 EDISON Ansel 7% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
219 ORVANANOS Jorge - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
219 GAO William - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
219 GOBBO Alexander - 2% 18% 43% 31% 7% -
222 PAI Lakshan K. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
222 RAJ Jay 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
222 GETSIN Anthony 24% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
225 ZHENG zhe - 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
226 HOBSON Aaron K. - 1% 7% 33% 42% 16% 2%
227 PARK Rion 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
228 PAN Henry - 5% 33% 41% 18% 3% -
228 TALASILA Arush 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
230 BERNABE Rafael 5% 27% 42% 21% 4% - -
231 FU Steven 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
232 PETERSON Matthew 13% 41% 35% 10% 1% - -
233 DORE Davis 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
234 CULHANE Dechen 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
235 ELKOUSY Laith H. 1% 13% 40% 34% 11% 1%
236 WANG Brayden 2% 23% 44% 25% 5% -
237 ANDRIC Borna - 3% 31% 48% 17% 1%
238 GNEUHS Sam 12% 56% 29% 3% - -
239 DUSZA Zachery 44% 42% 13% 1% - -
240 HIRSCH Bobbie A. 3% 35% 42% 17% 3% -
240 JANG Jaewon - < 1% 2% 16% 48% 34%
242 JOHNSON Chance 75% 23% 2% - - -
243 CROOM Tucker 70% 27% 3% - - -
244 DAI Christopher 77% 21% 2% - - -
245 HARRIS Otto 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
246 ZHANG Aaron 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
247 MCCOSH Evin M. 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
248 SETLUR Bhrugu 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
249 LISONDRA Niko 1% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
250 LEE Jayden 21% 44% 28% 6% - - -
251 KHER Roan 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% - -
251 SEEDS Edward T. 3% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
251 MILLER Jonathan 63% 33% 4% - - - -
254 GREENLEAF Paul 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
255 NG Kenneth 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
255 DALVA Michael 71% 25% 3% - - - -
257 PLASTARAS Trey 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
257 TSAO Lukas - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
259 NOFZIGER Bennett 26% 59% 14% 1% - - -
259 SANCHEZ Emanuel 18% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
259 WILKINS Mateo 11% 40% 35% 13% 2% - -
262 KLYCZEK Andrew 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
263 POPE Alexander 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% - -
264 GLOVER George 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
265 GIDDENS James Oliver 68% 28% 4% - - - -
266 BLAM Matthew 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
267 MCCOWN Ronan 32% 50% 16% 2% - - -
268 LAHAUG Ethan R. 68% 28% 3% - - - -
268 RYOU Aiden - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
270 CHEN Leetyan 29% 44% 23% 5% - - -
271 ANDERSON Jacob 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
271 LIGOS Alex M. 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
271 ARMSTRONG Elijah 61% 33% 6% - - - -
271 SALLEY Gus 14% 51% 29% 5% - - -
275 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert - 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
275 SMITH Grant D. 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
277 GUEVARA Isaac 24% 45% 25% 5% - - -
278 CHUFONG-SPRAGUE Matthew 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
279 BLACK Zachary 9% 62% 25% 3% - - -
280 LI Ayren 9% 34% 40% 15% 2% - -
281 KIM Harrison 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% - -
281 SORRENTINO Salvatore 16% 48% 29% 6% 1% - -
283 YULDASHEV Timur 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
284 AIKEN Nicholas A. 17% 44% 31% 7% 1% - -
285 BOYKO Miles 7% 53% 33% 7% 1% - -
286 WOHLERS Trevor 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
287 CHUNG Yeongbin 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
288 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 57% 37% 5% - - - -
289 SUTHERLAND Nicholas 79% 19% 2% - - - -
290 SONG Noel 10% 38% 38% 13% 1% -
291 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson 10% 47% 32% 9% 1% - -
292 RIOS Elai 39% 52% 8% - - -
293 YORK Lucas 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
294 LI Samuel 2% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
294 LEE Jayden J. 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% - -
294 MARTIN William 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
297 STAMMERS Milo 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
298 FECHTMEYER Theodore 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
298 ZHENG Harrison 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
298 BATRA Dev 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
298 FLANAGAN Miles 56% 37% 6% - - - -
302 BHARGAVA Aayush 38% 47% 14% 1% - - -
302 KRAMER Ryan 67% 28% 4% - - - -
302 JOHNSON Owen 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
305 KANDAGADLA Rishi 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
305 FLYNT Hayden 28% 48% 20% 3% - - -
307 MEMMOTT Ben 76% 21% 2% - - - -
307 BARRETT Austin 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
307 BORG Matthew 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
307 BORDIER Timeo 83% 16% 1% - - - -
307 CARROLL Robert 95% 5% - - - - -
312 SHEHORN Connor 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
312 TESSMAN Henry 98% 2% - - - - -
312 MILES Greyson 88% 11% - - - - -
315 EXNICIOS Rex 83% 17% 1% - - - -
316 LITTLE Alex 97% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.