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Junior Olympics

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, February 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - - 2% 23% 74%
2 SIMAK Joseph P. - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
3 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 KIM Shaun M. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
5 YUN Jaesun - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
6 WANG Eric Y. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
7 SO Hananiah - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - - 5% 32% 62%
9 LIANG Connor - - - 2% 26% 72%
10 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
11 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
12 DODRILL Grant - - - 5% 32% 62%
13 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
14 DENG Andrew - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
15 LUO George F. - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
16 RIGHTLER Samuel - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
17 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - - 2% 15% 45% 37%
18 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
18 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
20 BERMAN Luca - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
21 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
22 ERMAKOV Lev - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
22 CHAN Matthew - - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
24 CHON Taylor A. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
25 NOBLE Daniel - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
26 FENG Leo - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
27 HOLZ William A. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
28 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
29 WANG Robert - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
31 LE Hayden - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
32 HJERPE Wade H. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
33 YANG Ziyi - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
33 LIM William J. - - 1% 9% 35% 45% 10%
35 DENNER Lysander H. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
36 TONG ZACHARY - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
36 MICLAUS Justin - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
38 BARBER William S. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
39 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
39 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
41 LO Joshua H. - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
42 LUTHRA Arjun - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
43 GEFELL Andrew P. - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
44 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
45 CHIN Matthew W. - - 3% 18% 43% 32% 4%
46 LUEBBE Macklan C - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
46 XU William - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
48 PANDEY Neil - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
49 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
50 WIND Nicky E. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
51 PRIMUS Nazir - 1% 6% 29% 46% 18%
52 GHAYALOD ansh - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
53 BERRIO Carter E. - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
54 NOBLE Colin - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
55 CHOI Silas - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
56 KIM Andrew H. - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
57 DENNER Maximilian P. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
58 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
59 DALAL Rohan 3% 20% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
60 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
61 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
62 TANN Justin - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
63 SAHAY Kenji 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
64 SKINNER Graham B. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
65 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
66 OH Triton - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
67 ZUBATIY Samuel - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
68 LAI Adam J. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
69 BAE Jason I. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
70 BULL Anderson - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
71 HOLZ Daniel - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
72 KIM Matthew - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
73 HONG Steven - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
73 CHEN Evan P. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
75 CADAMBI Roshan - 1% 7% 26% 42% 21% 3%
76 HAN Daniel Y. 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
77 REN Richard - 1% 4% 18% 37% 33% 7%
78 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% < 1% -
79 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
80 LIU kelly - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
81 HOUTZ Jackson - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
82 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
83 KOTOV Leonid - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
84 GHENEA George Philipe - - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
85 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
86 AVAKIAN Alec - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
87 BERGER Oliver - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
87 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
89 QIU Nathan - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
90 JOHNSON Langston C. - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
90 DUDNICK Christian 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
92 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
92 PI Alexander - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 5%
94 HUANG Tom 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
95 FIELDS Matthew S. - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
95 HUANG Connor 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
97 WANG Nicolas 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
98 DOLAN Charles R. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
99 HAO Anwen 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
100 MAY Griffin M. 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
101 LAU Justin Y. 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 2% -
102 SHAHZAD Azlan A. - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
103 HUANG Alexander C. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
104 ROE Finnegan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
105 KIM Alexander M. - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
106 SWORDS Evan F. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
107 LIU Kevin 1% 21% 42% 28% 7% -
108 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
109 SU Landon 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
110 ZHOU James Y. 5% 26% 43% 22% 4% -
111 MARGULIES William - 1% 8% 33% 49% 10%
112 YUN Jake - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
113 KALPATHY Rohit 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
114 TAO Jeffrey - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
115 BAUER Hank E. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
115 XU Luke - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
117 BYON Adrian - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
118 LEE Noah 2% 15% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
119 KWALWASSER Eric - - 4% 20% 43% 29% 3%
119 ZHANG Derek - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
121 WILSON Jude - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
122 GLOZMAN Justin - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
123 LIN Daniel - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
124 PATEL Rayn 1% 8% 31% 44% 15% 1%
124 SCHARDINE James 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
126 CHAN Aidan 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
127 RAMANAN Jaisimh 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
128 CRAIG Samuel 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
129 CHAVES Matthew J. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
130 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
131 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
132 HAN Edward - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
133 CHUNG Connor 1% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
134 REN James - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
135 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
136 SHI Erick 1% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
137 DOWNEY Baran 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
138 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
139 BEITEL Noah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
140 STONE Esmond A. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
141 YANG Dylan 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
142 RESHEIDAT Malik - 2% 13% 37% 40% 8%
143 CAISSE Simon B. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
144 AKS Ari 1% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
145 KUMAR Sachit 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
146 WAXLER Seth B. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
146 KIBBAR Tomer L. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
148 BRAKEY Ryan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
149 GAO Albert - 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
150 BYON Julian - 6% 25% 40% 23% 5% -
151 KIM ELIJAH 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
152 KROON Lucas - 4% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1%
152 YAN Kevin 2% 19% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
154 SCHERER Max - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
155 POPE Nico - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
155 STURN Oliver - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
157 KAKEHI Nicholas B. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
157 EDELMAN Seth A. - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
157 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
160 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
161 ZHUANG Rayken 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
162 KILARI Krish 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
163 STAMIS Kyle 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2% -
164 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - - 4% 24% 48% 23%
165 LUHAN Zachary 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
165 KATZ Ryan 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
167 SINGH Angadh 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
168 HOTHA Nikhil 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
169 XU Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
170 LESUEUR Luke J. 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
171 WEBER Mattias A. - 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
171 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
173 DECK Tyson 1% 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
173 BRUTUS Caleb 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
175 SMINK Oliver 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
176 LOPEZ Lucas M. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
177 WANG daniel 2% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
178 COVINGTON Max G. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
179 MOL Justin 11% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
180 OKEEFE Mitchell 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% -
181 DEPEW Spencer 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
182 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 2% 21% 42% 29% 7% -
182 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 5% 26% 44% 22% 3%
184 BROU Inkosi 1% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
185 LO Bradley 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
186 BARRIOS Diego 11% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
187 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
188 KESSENS Keith J. 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
189 ZHU Charlie 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
190 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 2% 14% 39% 35% 10% 1%
191 VENU Ram 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
192 LIN Felix 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
193 YERRAMILLI Tejas 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
194 SUGIURA Samuel 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
195 GIANETTO Ethan K. 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
195 PIWOWAR Alex - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
197 NGUYEN Anthony 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1% -
198 VO Minh Q. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
198 VOSS Jeffer 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
200 REYES Xavier M. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
201 KO Zuriel 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
202 GAO Marcus 3% 25% 42% 24% 5% - -
202 TASIKAS Stylianos 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
202 GONG Jerry - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
205 LO Konnor 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
206 EYBELMAN Ariel 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
207 SAVOY Luca 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
208 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
209 YOU Jaden 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
209 SHANKAR Karthik 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
211 NIETO Titus P. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
211 GOLDIN Lucca 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
211 LANNAMAN Connor 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
211 KESSLER Nathan 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
211 HUBLALL Ethan 5% 46% 38% 10% 1% - -
216 CHEONG Heonjae - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
216 GOLD Carter 1% 14% 38% 35% 11% 1% -
218 JAIN Aniket 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
219 DEKA Tanush 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
220 BONSELL Vance 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
220 VELTZ Tyler J. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
220 TIAGI Daniel 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
223 THORNHILL Kwasi 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
224 ZEWDA Kebron - 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
225 RAMANAN Govind 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
225 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 64% 31% 5% - - - -
227 ZHANG Ethan W. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
228 FOX Gavin 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
229 KESSLER Josh 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
229 ZHOU Miles 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
231 POSY Daniel 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
231 GILPIN Samuel 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
233 PATRICO Peter 1% 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
234 WEBB Rohan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
235 VAUGHN Jason 6% 29% 42% 20% 3% -
236 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
236 PERRON Robert 7% 32% 41% 17% 2% -
238 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
239 HU Christopher 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
240 KUSHKOV Daniel - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
241 WU Richard 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
241 FAYETTE Julien 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% -
241 BOSITA Carson 5% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
244 SHINCHUK Daniel 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
244 RYABKOV Stanislav 33% 45% 18% 3% - -
246 GINSBERG Jordan 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
247 CLARK Keagan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
248 ZHENG Edward L. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
249 WONG James T. 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
249 NOURELDIN Gabriel 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
251 FERGUSON Constantine 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
252 BERA Enzo 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
253 LO Andrew T. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
254 MATTOO Surya 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
254 LICHTERMAN Jakub 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -
254 ZHAO Lucas 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
257 HUROWITZ Max 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
258 KERCHER Alexander 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
259 POFF Kainoa 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
260 ZHOU Aeres Z. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
261 HOOLE Colson 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
262 TUNG Ryan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
262 LAGROU Emerson R. 4% 29% 41% 21% 4% - -
262 JOHNSON Kai 62% 32% 6% - - - -
262 PARK Caleb 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
262 MORAN William 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
267 MOL Spencer 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
268 WEN Edward 3% 28% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
269 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 5% 30% 41% 21% 4% - -
270 KAPOOR Tanmay 3% 31% 43% 20% 4% - -
270 YANG Joshua 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
272 LIN Philip T. 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
272 FARIDI Imran 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
274 FANG Eason 20% 47% 27% 5% - - -
275 WALKE Devin 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
276 POFF James 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
276 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 38% 47% 13% 1% - - -
278 ELIN Adam E. 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1%
279 SMITH Vaughn 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
280 HARWOOD James A. 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1%
281 TSAI Michael T. 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
281 HUSTON Theodore 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
283 MEYERSON Jacob 40% 42% 15% 3% - -
284 HO Jacob 41% 43% 15% 2% - -
285 LIGUORI Michael 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
286 MENG Michael 75% 22% 2% - - -
287 HUNG Samuel 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
287 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
289 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 35% 50% 13% 1% - - -
290 PATNAIK Eshaan 36% 44% 17% 2% - -
291 RODGERS Jacob 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
291 HILL Quillan 24% 45% 26% 5% - -
291 WELLER Noah 79% 19% 2% - - - -
294 LIU Jeffrey 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
294 HUA Michael 18% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -
296 LEITE Antonio 77% 21% 2% - - -
297 LEITH Jack 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
298 FARAON Paulus 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
298 CUELLAR Hugo 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
298 NETHERTON Jack 80% 19% 2% - - - -
301 WAGNER Elijah 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
302 KURAPATI Datta 86% 14% 1% - - - -
303 AHLMAN Jason 83% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.