The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOUDERS Peter F. - - - - - - 100%
2 WOODWARD Connor - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 FENG Leo - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
3 SU Landon - - - 7% 42% 51%
5 CHAVES Matthew J. - - - 7% 52% 41%
6 DECK Tyson - - 3% 16% 41% 39% -
7 QI JI - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
8 FENKER William M. - - - 7% 48% 45%
9 LIAO Siwen - - - 5% 38% 57%
10 SEMP Brannon A. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
11 CLARK Keagan - - 10% 38% 41% 12%
12 LE Tan - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
13 OTT Alexander - 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% -
14 STAM August M. - 5% 28% 45% 20% 2%
15 CASSIDY Connor J. 1% 11% 50% 32% 6% -
16 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
17 LEE Matthew 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3% -
18 DREHER Matthew 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
19 PETERS Nathan M. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
20 MITCHELL Matthew - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
21 LAUDO Joseph - 3% 20% 46% 30% 2%
22 SHIFFLETT Parker 2% 16% 41% 35% 6% -
23 TRAYNOR Jake 7% 30% 43% 19% 1% -
24 ROUADY Ryan 1% 17% 46% 30% 5% -
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% -
26 BUNCHER Michael - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
27 PARCELL Colby 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
28 ZANE Christopher 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
29 PHAM Matthew 14% 44% 34% 7% - -
30 BARR Corinne 48% 42% 9% 1% - -
31 REED Michael 7% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
32 JACKSON Evan 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
33 LESTYAN Cat 43% 42% 13% 1% - -
34 URIBE David 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
35 KEESEE Devon 18% 51% 27% 4% - -
35 WILLIAMS Morgan 28% 54% 16% 2% - -
37 MARINO Edwin 4% 30% 47% 17% 2% - -
38 OHASHI Jax 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
39 WANG Kelley 23% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.