The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

November NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, November 8, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
2 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
3 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 CAUCHON Francois - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 CHIARA ANGELO M. - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 22%
6 BIVINS III George A. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
7 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
8 HONG Marshall Q. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
9 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
10 LIMB Matthew G. - 1% 6% 21% 34% 29% 9%
11 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - - - 2% 23% 74%
12 KARAM Tariq A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
13 LIN John A. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
14 HU William - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
15 KULDELL Spencer D. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
16 SAKHAMURI Surya - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
17 PARK Donghwan - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
19 MULLENNIX Ethan M. - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
20 WEI Andrew - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
21 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
21 SHI Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
23 CHAN Zachary D. - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
24 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
25 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
26 DESROSIERS Olivier - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
27 PRICE Jack S. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
28 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
29 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
30 LIANG Connor - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
31 KANARY Logan A. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
32 MOON Sean H. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
33 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
34 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 5% 25% 44% 23% 2%
34 HARLEY Colby A. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
36 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
37 LIM Ryan Y. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
38 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
38 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
40 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
41 MULVANEY Alec S. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 8%
42 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
43 ZHOU Matthew R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
44 NADILE Henry V. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
45 LIN William 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
46 BARTOLO Domenic V. 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
47 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
48 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
49 LAI Adam J. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
50 TANG Alex Y. 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
51 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
52 MIKA Casper - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
52 BERGER Oliver - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
54 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
55 WIND Nicky E. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
56 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
57 REN Junming - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
58 LILOV Neil - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
59 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
60 MARSEE James - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
61 WOOD Elden S. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
62 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
63 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - - < 1% 1% 10% 37% 51%
64 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
65 MA Jonathan D. - - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
66 ZU Kevin - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
67 ATTIG Will T. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
68 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
69 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis - 2% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
70 KAYDALIN Artyom 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
71 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 1% 6% 35% 58%
72 DILLREE Spencer S. - 4% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
73 KALUZA Pierre-Frédéric - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
74 GEFELL Andrew P. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
75 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
76 RAMAN Easwer - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
77 LEUNG Mark - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
78 FRIAS SAUL F. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
79 WESLER Logan A. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
80 JI Cody Walter - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
81 YANG Kevin S. - - 2% 15% 41% 36% 5%
82 LEE Kyle - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
83 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
84 CHO Brandon - 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
85 NOBLE Daniel 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
85 SINGER Carson - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
87 DROZ Camden J. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
88 ESCUETA Tony V. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
89 BOLTON Braydon A. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
90 KIM Minwook - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
91 YEN Darren - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
92 DEMAREST Iain - - 2% 11% 33% 43% 12%
93 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
94 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
94 ZHOU Kevin 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
96 NG Jonathan H. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
96 JEAN Vincent - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
98 TAKEMARU Leo - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
99 CZAHA Balint - 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
100 PEDERSEN Leif 1% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
101 YOUNG Nash - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
102 YAO Jonathan - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
103 KIM Avery J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
104 DANNULL Lukas J. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
105 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
106 BOLTON Dawson E. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
107 RAI Avin - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
108 LO Joshua H. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
109 BARNETT Adam - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
110 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
110 HOUTZ Jackson 3% 25% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
112 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
113 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
114 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
115 SHIN Richard J.H. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
116 HARGENRADER Kailen A. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8% 1%
117 DENNER Lysander H. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
118 HE Brendan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
119 CHAN Matthew 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
120 NI AMEN Zahir K. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
120 LIU kelly - 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
122 LIU David J. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
123 HAMMER Peter A. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
124 LASORSA Matthew 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
125 WUN William 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
126 MORREALE John - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
127 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
128 BRAR Sanjeet 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
129 ZHANG Michael M. - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
130 FLORES Peter D. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
131 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
132 DINU Nicholas D. - - 1% 12% 36% 40% 11%
133 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
134 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
134 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
136 BAILEY Asher 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
136 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
138 BARBER Brendan 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
139 RAJA Arnav 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
140 BARBER William S. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
141 JEAN Noe T. - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
141 LUKASHENKO Darii - 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
141 CHENIER Marc-Olivier - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 3%
144 DODRILL Grant - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
144 ZHOU Justin 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
146 MCFADDEN Shae Q. - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
147 GINIS Nathan - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
148 CHEN Brian - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
148 REESE Aaron S. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
150 MILLER Levi H. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
151 HUSSAIN Faaris - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
152 QUAN Nicholas - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
153 TONG Qilin - - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
154 JEFFORDS Alexander - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
155 QIU Le - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
156 GILMORE Thomas W. - 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
156 LI Joshua L. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
158 KIM Benjamin H. 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
159 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
159 CHEONG Heonjae 2% 18% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
161 CHEN Leo 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
162 DANNULL Linus N. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
163 MAHONEY Colin M. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
163 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
165 BREIER Satchel E. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
166 TONG ZACHARY 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
166 ALTIRS Alexander 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
168 CHEN Alan - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
169 GAFFNEY John M. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
170 LUO ZIRUI 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
171 CHEN SHENGWEN 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
172 KOKKIN Jack S. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
173 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
174 POPE Nico - 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
174 GREEN IV James (Bud) 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
174 NEUHEARDT Peter 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
177 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
178 TRAVERS Samir T. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
179 CHEN Oscar 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
180 NARANJO David E. 13% 37% 36% 12% 2% - -
181 ATEFI Daniel 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
181 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
183 LU Timothy 2% 18% 42% 29% 8% 1%
184 KIM Sean G. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
185 TANG Brendan J. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
186 STEINMETZ John 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
187 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
188 GANTA Vijay 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 4% -
189 PAN Jerry 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
190 DIACOS Jordan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
191 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
192 HARRIS Alex K. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
193 DHINGRA Gian K. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
194 HAN William 80% 18% 2% - - - -
195 LEE Jude H. 10% 53% 30% 6% 1% - -
195 SHASHA Zane 3% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
197 DENNER Maximilian P. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
198 LE Hayden 3% 25% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
199 GORTON George F. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
200 YANG Richard 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
201 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
201 NIL Michael Y. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
203 BULL Anderson 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
203 COSGROVE Connor R. 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
205 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 9% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
206 RABINKOV Anthony 4% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
207 GRASS James D. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
208 PAN Andrew W. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
209 HWANG Ryan C. 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
209 GUZZO Vito 81% 18% 2% - - - -
211 CABLE Dante 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
212 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
213 HASNAH Henry 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
214 HOEY-WASOW Henry 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% -
215 LEVIN Mark A. 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
216 TRINH Trevor Z. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
217 YANG Ziyi - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
218 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
219 JUNG Junhwan 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
220 VILLARREAL Mateo 18% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
221 ASHBY Ethan J. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
221 XU William 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
223 BUKOWSKI Bronson 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
223 COLLINS Andrew M. 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
225 KIM Noah L. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
226 OWENS William - 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
226 YEN Preston 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
226 HONG Vincent Q. 10% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
226 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 40% 45% 14% 2% - - -
230 WONG James T. 67% 30% 3% - - - -
230 ALKIN Isaac 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
232 LAUDON Konrad 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
232 MORRILL Justin 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
234 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
235 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
236 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
237 ZHOU Miles 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
237 ROBERTS Sam 38% 50% 11% 1% - - -
239 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 7% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
239 PORTMANN Stein J. - 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
239 NEVILLE James 38% 48% 13% 1% - - -
242 GOLD Jackson 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
243 GHOSH Tuhin 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
244 LEMPERT Levy A. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
245 FURMAN Thomas G. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
246 LICHT Aaron H. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
247 WINEBURNER J.T. 74% 24% 2% - - - -
248 CHANIN Liam R. 81% 18% 2% - - - -
249 KEEFE Duncan 4% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
250 BUEKER Samuel P. 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
251 PARKHURST Jr Michael 6% 41% 37% 13% 2% - -
252 CHIN Matthew W. 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
253 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
253 ZHANG Jeffrey 13% 37% 34% 13% 3% - -
255 CADAMBE Rishi 77% 22% 1% - - - -
256 PARKER Timothy S. 12% 50% 30% 7% 1% - -
257 SHAO Peter 62% 32% 6% - - - -
257 WANG Charles 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% - -
257 CHENG Albert 73% 24% 3% - - - -
260 JOHNSON Waldron 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
261 HAM Kevin P. 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
261 REED Samuel J. 68% 28% 4% - - - -
263 ELIN Adam E. 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
263 LEITH Jack 67% 28% 4% - - - -
263 HODGES Calvin 78% 20% 2% - - - -
266 BEITEL Noah 97% 3% - - - - -
266 GARCIA Ryan 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
268 MICHNA Colin P. 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
269 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
270 HENSHAW Joseph 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
271 KORINTH Alexander J. 67% 29% 4% - - - -
272 DILLE Jackson K. 26% 50% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.