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March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Chenqiao - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 SHENG Dalton - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 SENIC Lucas - - - - 5% 31% 64%
3 LU Kevin - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 WU Alber Y. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
6 ZHANG Jacob - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 24%
7 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
8 PARRISH Evan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
9 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 1% 5% 18% 36% 33% 9%
10 GHEDINI Luca - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
11 TANG Terry - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
12 CHOI Ethan - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
13 ZHAO Adam - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
14 ZHAO Nathan - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
15 VADEN Oliver - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
16 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
17 LI Bradley - - - - 5% 30% 65%
18 TANG Alexander L. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
18 DOELL Ethan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 17%
20 CHEN Ethan - - - 4% 20% 43% 31%
20 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
22 KAWADA Sebastien - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
23 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
24 ZENG Rick - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
25 ZHONG Maxwell 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
26 CHANG Jonathan - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
27 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
28 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 26%
29 SISINNI Leonardo 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
30 CHEN Hanson - 1% 13% 38% 39% 9%
31 YANG Charles - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
32 PARK William - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 3%
33 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 6% 36% 57%
33 RAUTUREAU Arthur - - 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
35 PARKER Isaiah - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
36 TSAY Jordan R. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
37 DESERANNO Leander - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
38 FUKUDA Brando - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
39 ZHANG Lucas - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
40 LI Richard - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
41 YOU Alan - - 4% 24% 48% 21% 2%
42 ZHANG Raphael - 1% 7% 24% 40% 25% 3%
43 ZHOU Ryan - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
44 TOOMRE Kai 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
45 DENG David - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
46 YU ZiRun (Kinton) - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
47 CHENG Logan - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
47 KO Caleb 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
49 YU William - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
50 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 4% 26% 52% 17%
51 ZHOU Shawn - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
52 LU Alex - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
53 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
54 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
55 YOON Junhyeok - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
56 WANDJI Noah - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
57 DHOKTE Neev - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
58 HOU Gaven - 2% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
59 QU Zhida (richard) - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
60 HAYES Stewart - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
61 CHUANG Oscar - 5% 20% 37% 31% 8%
62 FEDELI Francesco - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
63 CHEN Matthew - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
64 BIELER Mason - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
65 ONG Nicholas - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14% 1%
66 CHAN Joseph - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
67 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
68 CHEN Anson 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
69 KNIBBE Nathan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
69 HUA Aaron - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
71 SUAREZ David - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
72 LIU Yinhong - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
73 ZHENG Marcus 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
74 REN Ryan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
75 QIAN Henry 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
76 WU Thomas 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
77 SHAW eric 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
78 HE Ian 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
79 PLUMMER Waylon 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
80 KIM Andrew 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
80 ANDRADE Cedric 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
82 QIAN Zekai 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
82 HE Ryan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
84 HUANG Jinyao - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
85 LI Lucas 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
86 HONG Edwin 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
87 YU ShiLin (Harry) - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
88 FOY Grant 3% 22% 43% 27% 5% - -
89 BEYDOUN Sam 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
90 ZHAI Alex 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
91 YANG Tate 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
92 GE Felix Fei 2% 21% 40% 29% 8% 1%
93 HUYNH Matthew 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
94 WANG Tiger - 4% 21% 42% 27% 5%
95 WONG Jacob W. - 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
96 XU Nathan 3% 26% 44% 23% 4% -
97 XIE Jicheng - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
98 ZHANG Max 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
99 BAI Austin 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
100 XIE Jayden 1% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1%
101 YE Jerry 1% 13% 38% 37% 10% 1% -
102 GRIGORIEV Michael - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
103 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
104 ZHAO Ryan 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
105 CHANG Jeremy - 2% 10% 28% 38% 19% 3%
106 ALKADI Zain 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
107 LI Edison M. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
108 FRASER Rhys 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1% -
109 YUE Jackson - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
110 SHAW Spencer 3% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
111 KRZYWON Dylan 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
112 MARTIRE Luca 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
113 TANG Royce - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 2%
114 MANIKTALA Suvir 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
115 SICAT Justin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
116 KIAYIAS Alexander 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
117 FANG Haoyu 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
118 CHEN Ryker - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
119 AMR HOSSNY Adam 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
120 PARK Andrew 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
121 NAIR Sujit 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
122 CHEN Jason 6% 37% 40% 15% 2% -
123 LU Hansen 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
124 KUANG Cyrus 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
125 KO Darren 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
126 RAU Shogun 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
127 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 12% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
128 ALVAREZ Sebastian 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
129 KIM Gene 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
130 YANG Steve 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
131 KOE Declan 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
132 ALANAZI Saif 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
133 ZHOU Alex 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
134 WATERFIELD Lysander - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
134 VALENCIA Anthony N. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
136 NUCKLES Caden - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
137 CHUN Zachary 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
138 HWANG Jacob 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
139 ZHAO Jason 11% 43% 34% 11% 2% -
140 JAZWINSKI Ryan 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
141 HUANG Nathan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
142 KIAYIAS Anthony 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
143 MO Chris 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
144 ZMUDA Aiden 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
145 HELMY Richard 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
146 ABRAMKIN Tim 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
147 DIMINO Kartik 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
148 DULAI Agam 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
149 HWANG Jayden 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
150 CHOI Hunter 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
151 ZENG Albert 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
151 LIM EUNSEONG 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
153 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
154 SHARMA Ari 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
155 POPOKH Luca 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
156 YAN Rian - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
157 WU James 64% 31% 5% - - - -
158 JIANG Bohan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
159 ISHIHARA Shinichiro 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
160 PARK Jubin 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
161 LEE Joshua 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
162 KIM Seoheul 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
162 CHUN Alexander 61% 33% 5% - - -
164 SLAIN Owen 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
165 PAYNE Lynas 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
165 CHIANG Aiden 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% - -
167 CHEN Andrew 71% 26% 3% - - - -
168 MARTIRE Francis 76% 22% 2% - - -
169 GOVSHTEYN Avi 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
170 LIM Marcus 5% 35% 41% 17% 2% - -
171 MAZAHERI Theodore 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
172 LAM Kirin 65% 30% 5% - - -
173 FUNG Tiberias 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
174 LIN George 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.