The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
5 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
6 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 ZHAO Alina 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
8 NAZAROVA Sanam 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
9 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
10 AI Amy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
11 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
12 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
13 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
14 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
14 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
16 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
17 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
18 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 2%
19 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
20 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 15%
21 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
22 ZHAN Nancy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
23 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
24 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
25 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
26 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
27 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
28 JORDAN Zoe 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
29 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
30 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
31 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 13%
32 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
33 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
34 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
35 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
36 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
37 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
38 CREMONA Viola Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
39 BUSH emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
40 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 5%
41 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 7%
42 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
43 VARAN Kateryna 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
44 MENDOZA zoie 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 5%
44 POHREBNA Yeva 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
46 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
47 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
48 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
49 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
50 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
51 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
52 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 6%
53 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
54 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
55 FRANGER Macy 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
56 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
57 TANG RUIRUI 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
58 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
59 BO GENESIS 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
60 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
61 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
62 KANASKAR Ila 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
63 WONG Caitlin 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
64 BURICEA Ada 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
65 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
65 MALLAVARPU saanvi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 29%
67 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
68 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
69 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
70 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
71 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
71 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
73 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
74 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
75 STERN Savannah 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% -
76 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
76 JAMES Ashley 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
78 VAN VACTER Madelynn 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
79 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
80 LEE Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
81 XU Serena 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
82 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
83 BROWN Riley 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
84 MEYER Rachel 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
85 MCKENNA Analise 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
85 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
87 QIAN Irene 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
88 MIRZA Annoshae 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
89 JUN Bomie 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
90 CHEN Alina 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
91 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
92 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
93 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
93 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
95 BHATT Anisha 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
95 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
97 LIN Laura 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
97 CHUNG Penelope 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
99 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
99 HAN Rita Yaya 100% 81% 30% 5% - - -
101 LI Alice 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
102 HU Chloe 100% 93% 47% 9% 1% - -
103 PATIL Amulya 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5%
104 WALTER Anna 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% -
105 KIM Emily 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
106 MEYER Rebecca 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
107 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
108 FREEMAN Kate 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
109 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
110 COLINA UZCÁTEGUI gabriela 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
111 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 27%
112 BAWA Jenya 100% 99% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
113 LAI Amanda 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
114 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
115 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
116 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
117 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
118 SEREGIN Katya 100% 81% 35% 6% 1% - -
119 XU Celina 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
120 HALE Avery 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
121 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
122 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2% -
123 KROPP Anne 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
124 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
125 WEI Sherry 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
126 ILYAS Ayah 100% 92% 60% 18% 2% - -
127 BI Michelle 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
128 GUSKA Jenn 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
129 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
130 YERIAN Ayda 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
131 PANG Ashley 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
132 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
133 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
134 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
135 WANG Emma 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
136 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
137 KAUR Manroop 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
138 SOIN Kaira 100% 97% 71% 24% 4% - -
139 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 7% -
140 TAM Connie 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
141 PAN Angela 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
142 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 99% 87% 53% 14% 1%
142 MA Sophie 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
144 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
145 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
146 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
146 ZHAO Yanning 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
148 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
149 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
150 WANG Cecilia 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
150 LY Hannah 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
152 JEYOON Lauren 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
152 ZHU Riley 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
154 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
155 LEE Valerie 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
155 ZHANG Helen 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
157 CHENG Katherine 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
158 CUEVA Viola 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
159 VIOLETTE Lih-Ann 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
160 VALDEZ Emma 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
160 DU Andria 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
162 KAMEL Jana 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
162 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
164 WU Madisen 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
165 HUANG Selina 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
166 STEMPKOVSKA Dina 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
167 PARK elli 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
168 YARLAGEDDA Nitya 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
169 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
170 HLYNKA Marta 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
171 YU Eva 100% 98% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
172 ZHAN Clare 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
173 AIRES Julia 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 10% 1%
173 SUN Karolyn 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
175 CHUANG Ramona 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
176 LI Xiang (Shining) 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
177 YANG Arianna 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
178 KURUPATH Durga 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
179 LIANG Angela 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
180 WHITELAW Shyann 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
180 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
182 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
183 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
183 KELLEY Elise 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
183 HOLDEN Helena 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
186 SALAZAR Emma 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
187 GAN Shelby 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
188 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
189 WU Jessica 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
190 WANG Aria 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
191 RANDOLPH Bethany 100% 25% 2% - - - -
192 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
193 LEE Claudia 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
194 XU Jessica 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
195 NGUYEN Ella 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% - -
196 KANDALA Aanya 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
197 SCOTT Marley 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
198 XU Chenyu 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
199 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
199 LEE Adelynn 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
201 FENG Iris 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
202 DAVIS Violet 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
203 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% - -
204 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
204 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
206 KELLEY Kelleah 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
206 BUNCH Halle 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.