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March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - - 11% 88%
2 LEE Jonah - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 4% 27% 69%
5 CANLAS Nathan - - - - 6% 36% 58%
6 LING Eddie - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
7 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
8 DINSAY Kristjan - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
9 QIAN Jason H. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
10 SIU Aiden - - - - 1% 17% 82%
11 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 17%
11 NICOLETTI Luca - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
13 TANG Albert - - 1% 7% 31% 44% 18%
14 LIN Michael - - - - 3% 24% 72%
15 SISINNI Riccardo - - - 3% 24% 73%
16 LI Matthew - - - 4% 29% 67%
17 XU Andy P. - - 1% 8% 33% 50% 8%
17 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
19 ZHAO Adam - - 4% 19% 41% 32% 5%
20 FUKUDA Diego - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
21 CO Dylan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
22 SENIC Lucas - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
23 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
24 LEE Christopher T. - - - 7% 30% 43% 19%
25 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - - - - 6% 32% 62%
26 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
27 TANG Owen S. - - - 1% 7% 38% 54%
28 LE Jacob H. - 1% 7% 30% 42% 19% 2%
29 NGUYEN Martin - - 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
29 STRINGER David - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
31 DERRICK Blake - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
32 LIN James G. - - - 4% 29% 67%
33 YU Jason - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
34 PARK Ryan - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
35 LEE Brendan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
36 WONG Garrick G. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
36 LIU Derek - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
38 CHOI Ethan - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
39 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - - 6% 30% 64%
40 MATSAKH Philip - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
41 HUANG Eythan - - 1% 9% 33% 43% 15%
42 KIAYIAS Aris - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
43 KIM Aiden - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
44 ZHEN Ethan - - 2% 17% 41% 32% 8%
44 BUDOVSKYI Borys - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
46 ZHANG Matthew - - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
47 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
47 WU Alistair - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
49 HUANG Jonathan - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
50 LO Preston - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 9%
51 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 1% 7% 29% 48% 15%
52 LORENZO Alejandro - - 5% 23% 42% 28% 2%
53 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 3% 18% 36% 32% 11% 1%
54 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
55 TALASILA Arush 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 2%
56 VADEN Oliver - 4% 22% 41% 28% 6%
57 GUTH Joseph - 2% 14% 40% 38% 6%
58 LI Toby - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
59 RASMUSSEN Sage - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22% 1%
60 WU Alber Y. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
61 LIU Ethan - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
62 PARK Rion - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
63 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
64 RAUTUREAU Arthur 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
65 MIN Eric - - - - 5% 30% 64%
66 EDWARDS Maxon - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
67 CHEN Hanson - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
68 YAO Bradley - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24% 1%
69 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
70 GHEDINI Luca - 1% 12% 39% 37% 11%
71 YANG Charles - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
72 CHEN Kyle P. - - 6% 31% 42% 19% 2%
73 TANG Alexander L. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
73 WANG Brian - 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
75 PONS Diego - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
75 CHENG Logan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
77 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
78 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
79 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
80 TANG August L. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
81 LI Bradley - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 6%
82 SHAO Eric - 2% 12% 32% 37% 17% 1%
83 CHAN Ian - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
84 LEE Jayden J. 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
85 LU Kevin - 1% 6% 26% 42% 23% 3%
86 MAO Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
87 LI Edison M. 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
88 KAWADA Sebastien - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
89 ARIZA Abraham J. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
89 SUAREZ Adrian - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
91 RAUTUREAU Hugo - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
92 YI William - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
92 HE Kyle 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
94 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 14% 39% 35% 10%
95 LIU William - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 1%
96 XU Ethan - 4% 19% 41% 32% 4%
97 AGRAWAL Niki 3% 22% 42% 27% 6% -
98 WONG Evan 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 1%
99 LI Samuel - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
100 CHAN Joseph 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
101 AKYAMAC Bora - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
102 PARRISH Evan - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
102 ZHOU Chenqiao - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
104 SONG Noel - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
105 DESERANNO Leander - - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
106 KIM Brian - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17% 1%
107 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
107 YU William 3% 21% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
107 XIE Buster - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
110 WONG Yuheng Isaac - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
111 LAM Nicolas - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
112 GERRISH William - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
113 SISINNI Leonardo 5% 34% 40% 18% 3% - -
114 DONG Quintin - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
114 SION Andrew 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
116 CHEN Matthew 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1% -
117 FENG Michael 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
118 CHUANG Oscar 1% 7% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
119 MAVANI Krishna 3% 25% 50% 19% 3% - -
120 ZHAO Nathan - 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
121 CHEN Kelton 2% 34% 43% 18% 3% -
122 PLUMMER Waylon 5% 24% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
123 ZHANG Alex 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
124 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
124 LEE Charles T 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
126 JIANG Bowang - 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 1%
127 DENG David 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 1% -
128 BAE Eugene 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5% -
129 LI Aaron - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
130 BRAIZINHA Thomas - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
131 CHOI Ethan - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
132 YU ZiRun (Kinton) - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
133 BIELER Mason 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
134 KIM Daniel Y. - 4% 17% 36% 32% 9% 1%
135 CHO Xzander 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
136 CHUN Dashel 5% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
137 GUO Justin - - 5% 27% 45% 22%
138 MARTIN Darius 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
139 ZHAN Kevin 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
140 NGAI Julian 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
141 LEE Eugene 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
142 CHOI Benjamin 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
143 FUKUDA Brando 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
144 YOON Junhyeok - 2% 13% 39% 34% 10% 1%
145 ZHANG Graham 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
146 TANG Terry - - 7% 32% 41% 18% 2%
147 ZHANG Jacob - 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1%
148 CHEN Ethan - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
149 CHANG Jonathan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
150 PARK David 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
151 SUN Ryan 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
152 KO Caleb 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
153 FANG Haoyu 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
154 LIU Josh - 7% 37% 39% 14% 2% -
155 ZHANG Raphael 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1% -
156 GORDON William L. 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
157 TSAY Jordan R. - 2% 21% 42% 27% 6% -
157 KOE Beckett 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
157 TOOMRE Kai 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
160 ZENG Rick 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
161 ZHANG Lucas - 16% 41% 32% 9% 1%
161 ONG Nicholas 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
163 WANDJI Noah 6% 32% 43% 17% 2% -
164 BAI Brian 16% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
165 LU Alex 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
166 SHENG Dalton - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
167 RAJ Jay - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
168 ZHONG Maxwell 23% 47% 25% 5% - - -
169 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
170 ZHOU Ryan 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
171 DOELL Ethan - 1% 12% 41% 35% 11% 1%
172 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
173 RIPA Joseph K. 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
173 NOFZIGER Bennett 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
173 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
176 KIM Harrison - 3% 16% 35% 34% 10% 1%
177 DHOKTE Neev 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1% -
178 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 7% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
179 SUAREZ David 3% 34% 40% 19% 4% - -
180 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1% -
181 JIANG Bohan 5% 28% 45% 20% 3% - -
182 TONKOVICH Ryan - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
183 FEDELI Francesco - 2% 9% 27% 38% 21% 3%
184 YUE Jackson 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
185 WONG Jacob W. 5% 37% 38% 16% 3% - -
185 LI Richard 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
185 ZAIDI Adil 9% 38% 41% 11% 1% - -
188 YANG Dylan 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
189 HEYBOER Jason 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
190 XIE Jicheng 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
191 SHANNON Jack 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
192 CHEN Leetyan 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
192 PARK William 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
194 TANG Royce 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% - -
195 FOGELSON Hugh 15% 43% 33% 9% 1% -
196 REN Ryan 10% 42% 37% 10% 1% -
197 CARTY JR Johndale 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
198 HAYES Stewart 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
199 DAI Christopher 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
200 ORNELAS Matteo 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
201 BAI Austin 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
202 HUA Aaron 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
203 TSOI Spencer 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
204 ZHOU Austin 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
205 PETROV Mikhail 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
206 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
206 KIM Andrew 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
206 WEISS Mateo 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
209 NISHIHIRA Tyler 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
210 HE Bourne 17% 51% 27% 4% - - -
211 ZHENG Marcus 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
212 YOU Alan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% - -
213 ZHANG Max 21% 49% 25% 5% - - -
213 FRASER Rhys 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
215 LIANG Ethan 58% 36% 6% - - - -
216 MCKEE Calvin 24% 55% 19% 3% - - -
217 LIU Yinhong 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
217 KRZYWON Dylan 36% 46% 17% 2% - - -
219 CLARK Benjamin 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
220 KNIBBE Nathan 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
221 KIM Seoheul 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
221 LAM Kirin 61% 35% 4% - - - -
223 SICAT Justin 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
224 KUE Temujin 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
225 HOLCOMB Alexander 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
226 WU Thomas 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
227 FOY Grant 22% 59% 17% 2% - - -
228 DULAI Angad 12% 43% 37% 8% 1% - -
228 DULAI Agam 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
230 SANDOW Sterling 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
231 ZMUDA Aiden 27% 44% 23% 5% - - -
232 SHAW Spencer 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
233 POPOKH Luca 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
233 RAO Saathvik 56% 38% 5% - - - -
233 NUCKLES Caden 20% 47% 27% 6% 1% - -
236 SUN Neo 90% 9% - - - -
237 REID Wesley 73% 24% 3% - - - -
237 ALVAREZ Sebastian 23% 47% 25% 4% - - -
237 SUNDSTROM Wren 66% 29% 4% - - - -
237 CHUN Alexander 85% 14% 1% - - - -
241 MANIKTALA Suvir 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
241 KOE Declan 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% - -
241 KUANG Aaron 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
241 CHANG Nathan 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
241 FERNANDEZ Rumi 46% 42% 10% 1% - - -
241 CHIANG Aiden 84% 15% 1% - - - -
247 ISHIHARA Shinichiro 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
248 CHUN Zachary 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
249 ZHOU Alex 17% 51% 26% 5% - - -
250 PORPORA Oliver 35% 45% 17% 2% - - -
250 SCHUMANN Benjamin 71% 25% 3% - - - -
250 XU Joseph 57% 37% 6% - - - -
253 WOOD Callum 73% 24% 3% - - - -
254 ALKADI Zain 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.