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March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Men's Saber

Monday, March 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles - - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 KANG Jeremy - - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
3 YU Ian - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
5 HAO Johnny - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
6 GU Andrew 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
7 HWANG Hagan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
8 GRIGORIEV Roman 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 4%
9 QI Jeremy 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
10 TANG Morgan - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
11 WONG Hawken - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
12 OU Rigel 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
13 MALEK Zak - - 3% 17% 40% 37% 3%
14 LUCAS William - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
15 SLAVNOV Anton 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
16 ISAYENKO Daniel - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
17 YU BOWEN - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
18 KHANNA Adamantis - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
19 BROOKS Drake - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
20 AGARWAAL Yohan - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
21 YUEN Caleb - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
22 FU BRANDEN 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
23 LEE Brendan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
24 LYU Tyler 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
25 MIAO Heqi - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
26 SONG Aidan - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
27 KIM Eric 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
28 CROOKS Andrew - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
29 HOWARTH Hayes 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
30 BIVIJI Adam 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
31 LI Ryan 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
32 VIDREVICH David - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
33 DENG Richard 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
34 HRISTOV Nickolas - - 4% 22% 44% 26% 4%
35 KOZLOV Lucas - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
36 YANG LOUIS 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
37 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
38 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 2% 13% 32% 37% 14% 2%
39 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
40 HOLMES Xavier 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
41 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
42 GUO Jonathan 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
43 MAI Ryan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
44 KAUL Ishaan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
45 KAMURA Kosei - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
46 RAMBHIA Smit 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
47 PARK Emerson 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
48 LO Lei 21% 40% 28% 10% 1% -
49 WANG David 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
50 LAI Mars 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
51 HAN Kyle 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
52 LUC Cedric 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
53 LAU Kyrus 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
54 VALLETTA John “JD” 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
55 LEVY Daniel 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
56 JI Derek 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
57 AVERY Marcus 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
58 LEE Bill King 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
59 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
60 THOTAKURA Sreyas 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
61 CHUNG Evan 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
62 ZHANG Aiden 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
63 YI Andrew 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
64 XIONG Alvin 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
65 HSIEH Maxwell 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
66 ZHANG Caleb - 2% 12% 33% 41% 12% 1%
67 LI Kevin 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
68 GU Dean - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
69 BADMUS David 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
70 TABANCAY Cole 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
71 QI Zach 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2% -
71 LU Simon 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
73 GUO Aiden 4% 26% 46% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.