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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	TAN Connor	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	3%
2	SONG Noel	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	17%
3	XU Xinhao ( Sonny)	-	-	2%	12%	40%	46%
3	ZENG Rick	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
5	XIE Buster	1%	15%	36%	33%	13%	2%
6	GUTH Joseph	-	1%	12%	38%	41%	8%
7	LEE Eugene	3%	16%	34%	33%	13%	1%
8	FENG Michael	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
9	GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas	-	3%	15%	39%	37%	6%
10	WANG Rory	-	2%	15%	39%	36%	9%
11	VOLLMER Quintin	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
12	JURMAN Therin	-	5%	23%	41%	26%	5%
13	CHEN Ethan	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%
14	RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	29%
15	CHENG Logan	-	6%	31%	41%	19%	3%
16	DOELL Ethan	-	7%	25%	38%	24%	6%
17	ZHANG Lucas	1%	11%	31%	36%	18%	3%
18	TANG Terry	-	3%	15%	33%	34%	14%
19	SUN Ryan	-	7%	30%	39%	20%	3%
20	DUNLAP Ian	7%	35%	38%	16%	3%	-
21	LAMBERT Parker	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	5%
22	TOOMRE Kai	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	-
23	HUANG Chenghan	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
24	LEE Gidon	-	1%	6%	24%	44%	25%
25	XU Ethan	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%
25	BAI Brian	6%	45%	36%	11%	2%	-
27	CHO Xzander	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%
28	BERNARD Cohen	-	2%	12%	34%	39%	13%
29	POWELL Sean	16%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
30	XIE Jicheng	18%	38%	30%	12%	2%	-
31	TAM Kyle	66%	29%	5%	-	-	-
32	GOODLIN Sean	17%	40%	31%	10%	2%	-
33	DIAZ Gabriel	23%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
34	BRAUTIGAM Nolan	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
35	NOSIK Gabriel	75%	23%	2%	-	-	-
36	CHOI Inho	3%	26%	53%	16%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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