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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SCHAIBLE Sofia L.	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
2	MAKLIN Sofia	-	-	-	3%	17%	41%	38%
3	WU Yuwei	-	-	4%	24%	45%	26%
3	LIU Kelly	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
5	BUSH Bethany	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
6	YU Zhiang	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	10%
7	DHAR Layla	-	1%	8%	30%	42%	19%
8	TENG EMMA	-	1%	8%	24%	37%	25%	5%
9	MYAT Chloe	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
10	KRASOWITZ Lucy	-	7%	26%	39%	23%	5%
11	GUGALA Hanna	-	1%	7%	27%	42%	23%
12	ZHANG Chenfei	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	5%
13	WANG JiaQi	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
14	LEOU Korina	-	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
15	WEI JoyAnn	-	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
16	HUANG Doris	-	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
17	VINOKUR Anita	-	3%	18%	40%	31%	8%
18	ZHAN Sophie	-	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
19	KWON Ava	-	3%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
20	NIU Jessica	8%	27%	35%	23%	7%	1%
21	LI Sonia	-	2%	12%	35%	39%	13%
22	MAK Kaitlin	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
23	LEE Alyson	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
24	GONZALEZ Veronika	-	6%	22%	35%	26%	9%	1%
25	CASTELO Soleil	2%	18%	36%	30%	12%	2%	-
26	WANG Callie	1%	6%	23%	38%	27%	7%
27	BERRIOS Catalina	-	3%	17%	40%	32%	8%
28	GONG Joy	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
29	HO Sophia	14%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-
30	CHI Claire	6%	23%	35%	26%	9%	1%
31	BORGUETA Madison	1%	12%	33%	36%	16%	3%
32	MACKAY Katherine	9%	36%	39%	14%	2%	-
33	MAGITSKY Leila	9%	29%	35%	21%	6%	1%
34	RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M.	1%	14%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-
35	BLAKE Anna	-	4%	16%	33%	34%	13%
36	HILD Anya	7%	28%	39%	21%	5%	-
37	CHERNY Sophia	12%	43%	33%	10%	1%	-	-
38	PALMIERI Giuliana M.	39%	41%	17%	3%	-	-
39	LEIGH Adalene	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-
40	FIGELMAN Maya	60%	33%	7%	1%	-	-
41	XU Demi	19%	41%	30%	8%	1%	-
42	YERENKOVA Ameliia	5%	33%	39%	19%	4%	-
43	REKHTMAN Alice	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	3%
44	LIU Chelsea	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
45	MEYERSON Michelle	2%	17%	35%	31%	13%	2%	-
46	RIFKIN Lielle	40%	44%	15%	2%	-	-
47	PALEY Alisa	15%	41%	33%	9%	1%	-
48	LIN Isabella	4%	40%	43%	12%	1%	-
49	YAO Annabelle	54%	37%	8%	1%	-	-	-
50	HO Jocelyn	57%	34%	8%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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