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American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Ayman A. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 BOGERT James BRETT (Brett) 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
3 HANSEN Jonas B. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
3 WERRELL Jack - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
5 SANTOS Cameron A. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
6 HONDOR Robert D. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
7 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
8 DOLGONOS Mark - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
9 KIM Derek D. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% < 1%
9 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
11 CULLEN Daniel F. 2% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
12 HILLYER Rourke W. 2% 12% 29% 34% 20% 4%
13 YU Colin 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
14 MARAKOV Allen B. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
15 MILLER Finn S. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
16 STONE Brian M. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
17 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
18 KOKENGE Clark 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
19 ZUCKER Noah L. 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
20 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
21 BASOK Daniel - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
22 INSLER Gabriel C. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
23 CHA Russell W. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
24 MARCHANT Albert J. - 1% 12% 38% 42% 7%
25 HERGERT Earl 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
26 LAFVING Brandon 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
27 LEIGH David A. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
28 MRAK Michael R. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
29 SCOTT Oscar W. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
30 KANG Michael H. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
31 RYAN Joshua P. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
32 GIBSON Nowell L. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
33 STUSNICK Hunter - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
34 FENWICK Luke A. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9%
35 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
36 YOSHIDA Stephen R. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
37 BEACH Nicholas 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
38 KIM Juni C. - - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
39 AYAN Ege 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
39 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
41 RA Jr. Daniel M. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
42 KLINE R. Jay - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
43 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
44 PLUMER Jack E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
44 ARMSTRONG James G. 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
46 WOLF Myles J. - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
47 GANA Thomas A. 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2% -
48 MCGOVERN Vincent J. - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
49 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
50 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
50 TIRRELL Justin J. 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
52 BAKER Kevin G. 7% 37% 42% 13% 1% -
53 HAO Jerry 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
54 TAE William G. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
55 SHENG Patrick Y. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
56 BURKE Matthew C. 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
57 LUKANYUK Lorence - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
58 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
59 SHINE Peter C. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
60 BORATIN Daniel I. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
61 CHERNYSHOV Max 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
62 WALTHER Bryan M. 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2%
63 GANESAN Vinayak 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
64 SPAHN Jeff 15% 35% 32% 14% 4% - -
65 GANA Jr Jorge M. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
66 WOLOSINSKI Peter - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
67 ZHANG Matthew 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
68 KUMAR Anitya 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
69 GAMBINO Robert A. 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
70 ROBERTS Samuel E. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
71 BONIN Jr. Christopher J. 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
72 BEKKER Mitchel - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
73 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
74 SMITH Nicholas S. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
75 MOYSE Alexander S. 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
76 SOOMRO Adam A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
77 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
78 CONNELL Jay 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
79 KIM Brad K. 3% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
80 KWONG Jason 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
81 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 1% 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
82 GREGORY Abram - < 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
83 CHAUDHRY Rafay 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
84 LI Brian 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
85 HUANG Forest 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
86 HODGE Jaydon L. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
87 SINGCUENCO Lance 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
88 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 17% 43% 32% 7% 1% - -
89 CHEN Junle R. 17% 44% 32% 6% - -
90 PARK Minchan 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
91 PARTE Aidan 15% 38% 33% 12% 1% -
92 SPANO Gideon S. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.