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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 10:30 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AWAD Royce - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
3 LEOU Korina - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 GUGALA Hanna - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
5 FUNG Iris - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 26%
6 WANG JiaQi - - 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
7 KWON Ava - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
8 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 9%
9 CASTELO Soleil - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
10 MAK Kaitlin - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
11 KIM Eunjae 2% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
12 FOSS Persephone - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
13 REN Katherine - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
14 WONG Charlene 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
15 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
16 BAIK Sarah 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
17 NIU Jessica - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
18 BERRIOS Catalina - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 22%
19 ZONG Eliane - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
20 NEMORIN Rei - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
21 DESAUTELS Alexandra 7% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
22 HUANG Pierra 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
23 LEE Hannah 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
24 LEE Kaitlin 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
25 YERENKOVA Ameliia - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
26 NANDA Maanika - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
27 REDA Sophie - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
28 LEIGH Adalene 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
29 LIANG Claire - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
30 LAFFY Lily 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
31 LIAO Amber 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
32 GALLAGHER Isabella 68% 27% 4% - - - -
33 LI Tiffany - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
34 LEE Grace - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
35 KIM Grace - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
36 CHOI Charlotte - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
37 HAGN Luna 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
38 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
39 YOUNG Sienna - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
40 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
41 XU Elaine 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
42 WANG MONA 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
43 ZHAO Angie 27% 48% 21% 4% - - -
44 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
45 TAKEUCHI Isabel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
46 JUNG Elise 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
47 WU Tonia 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
48 SMITH Genevieve 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
49 WANG Chloe 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
50 CHEN KIMBERLEY - 6% 24% 36% 26% 7% -
51 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
52 CHOWDHERY Myra 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
53 WILSON Lilia 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
54 BUTZ Victoria 1% 17% 40% 32% 9% 1% -
55 SAGER Bianca 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.