The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Ashley - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
2 TAO Hannah J. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 YANG Ashley M. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 SCOTT Eve 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
5 SPRINGER Ella - - 1% 11% 40% 42% 7%
6 JEONG Katie - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
7 SHI Julia - - 3% 19% 45% 29% 3%
8 YUAN Greta - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
10 LEE Sophia - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
11 FAN Grace - 3% 18% 40% 32% 7%
12 KANDADAI Lara - 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 2%
13 GUVEN Coco - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
14 BUSH Bethany 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
15 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
16 YOUNG Audrey 1% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1%
17 LIU Yifei - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
18 OBRADOVIC Ana - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
19 ZENG Sarah - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
20 NATHANSON Sammy E. - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
21 ZHANG Chenfei - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
22 BIRNSTILL Reese 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 3% -
23 SPEARS Mya B - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
24 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
25 LIU Moran - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
26 FEIG Sela - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
27 REN Xinling 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
28 NAYAK Esha 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
29 BAWA Anahat - 5% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
30 ZHENG Valentina - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
31 TENG EMMA - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
32 WANG yining - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
33 YEN Natalie 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
34 MCGRAW Sadie 3% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
35 NAYAK Anika 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
36 WOTZAK Kaia 5% 35% 41% 16% 2% - -
37 MERCHANT Aishwarya 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
38 MONTORIO Lily M. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
39 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
40 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
41 ZHAN Sophie - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
42 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 1% 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
43 CONNOLLY Vida 1% 12% 36% 38% 12% 1% -
44 LI Alexis 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
45 FLATT Sophia 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
46 MANKOVA Varvara 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
47 ZHENG Sophia 13% 46% 32% 8% 1% -
48 ELNATAN Mica A. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
49 MCSWEENEY Kylie 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
50 SHELLEY Scarlett 17% 53% 25% 4% - - -
51 TU Sadie 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
52 KHOST Maeve 3% 23% 43% 26% 5% - -
53 KRASOWITZ Lucy 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
54 HU Anna 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
54 NAYAK Antara 59% 35% 6% - - -
56 MORGAN Lily 67% 28% 4% - - - -
57 DUBE Naomi 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
58 KHERA Anya 64% 33% 3% - - - -
58 MAROSFOI Virag 62% 32% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.