The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
5 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
7 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
8 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
9 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
10 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
12 ZHU Shao 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
12 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
14 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
15 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
16 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
17 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
18 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
19 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
20 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
21 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
21 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
23 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
24 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
25 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
26 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
27 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
28 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
29 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
30 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
31 RYAN Kai 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
32 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 99% 69% 27% 5% -
33 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
34 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
35 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
36 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
37 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
38 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
39 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
40 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
41 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
42 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
43 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
44 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
45 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
46 BHATIA Ekam 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
47 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
48 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
49 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
50 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
50 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
52 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
53 SUN Bill 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% - -
54 LUCAS Hayden 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
55 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
56 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
57 ZHOU Grant 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
57 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
59 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
60 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
61 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
62 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
63 TANG Shu Hon 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
64 LAUB William 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
65 DEKA Tanush 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4%
66 ONG Chinli 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
67 LIN Steve 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
68 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
69 ZHAO ERIC 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
70 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
71 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
71 WANG Weiyun 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
73 MARGULIS Jared 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
74 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
75 DELISSER Matthew 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
76 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
77 LIGUORI Michael 100% 91% 58% 18% 3% - -
78 JACQUES Hugo 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
79 GOLDMAN Robert 100% 89% 50% 12% 1% -
80 MANESCU Miron 100% 67% 21% 2% - -
81 TAN Ethan 100% 81% 36% 6% - -
82 WAGNER Calvin 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
83 GILPIN Samuel 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
84 SIMATOS Luka D. 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
85 XU Justin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
86 LIN Justin 100% 38% 6% - - - -
86 IVRON Yonatan 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
88 SANDIN ROCHA PINTO LUCA 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
89 CHANG ETHAN 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
90 KUMAR Arjun 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
91 CORNAGIE Gehrig 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
92 TSAO Alister 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
93 KAUFFMAN James 100% 88% 50% 13% 2% - -
94 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 9% - - - -
95 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
95 RAGAN STEINSSON Sigurdur 100% 76% 30% 6% - - -
97 BAKER Sean 100% 88% 38% 8% 1% - -
97 KUPER Tristan 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% - -
99 LEDERMAN James 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
100 SCHEINFELD Maximilian 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
101 FERTIL Ethan 100% 44% 7% - - - -
102 BEEBY PIERRE Wyatt 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
103 YUNG Matthew 100% 41% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.