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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KOMAR Sofia - 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
2 LIN Jessica Y. - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
3 LAWSON Marie A. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
3 NI Emma 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
5 GAO Emily L. - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
6 SZTAN Maria 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
7 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
8 KIM Diane E. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
9 GANDHI Sedna S. - 1% 9% 32% 43% 16%
10 PATURU Meghana - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
11 HAN Jaewon(Leah) - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
12 LIN Katie Y. - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
13 YOON Julia J. 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
14 BINDAS Blodwen S. 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
15 IGOE Nirali B. 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
16 SMUK Daria A. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
17 KULKARNI Diya - - - 5% 31% 63%
18 ZHANG Maya 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
19 SHOATES Jacqueline A. - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
20 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
20 WANG Yumin 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
22 MARCHANT Sandra M. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
23 LONG Cindy - - 4% 26% 52% 18%
24 SAFKO Liubov V. - 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
25 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 1% 14% 41% 36% 8% -
26 KANG Dahyun - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
27 HUH Anna 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
28 ZHAO Yingying 7% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
29 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
30 MINASSIAN Arianna M. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
31 BENATER Lauren 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 1%
32 RABEL Brenna V. 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
33 YAO Jillian 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
34 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
35 YU Claire 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
36 GANSER Yuliya 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
37 QUINLAN Nicole P. 3% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1%
38 MIDGLEY Janice M. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
39 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
39 MA Laura 21% 44% 28% 7% - -
41 XU Amy 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
42 MCGEE Sophia - 5% 24% 42% 26% 2%
43 SLACKMAN Valerie 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
44 DOUGLAS Julia F. 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
45 SAAL Anna 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
46 TOLBA Salma - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
47 NICOU Nicole 14% 36% 34% 14% 2%
48 LEE Olive 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
49 ROWLAND May 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
50 CHAN Elizabeth 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
51 SHI Angela L. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
52 HERNANDEZ Christy 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
53 NIEMEYER Jennifer A. - 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
54 PARTE Isabella B. 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
55 MAO Amy 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
56 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
57 MASTRONARDI Laura 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1%
58 MOK Chloe R. 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
59 LONGSTREET Olivia 41% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.