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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BERA Enzo	-	-	1%	15%	49%	35%
2	ZHAO Lucas	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
3	FRANCOIS Alexander C.	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
3	WANG Daniel	-	-	1%	14%	49%	37%
5	LEE Andrew	-	1%	7%	27%	45%	20%
6	MATTOO Surya	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	4%
7	HE Bowen	1%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
8	HUANG Maxwell H.	1%	7%	22%	32%	26%	11%	2%
9	TANG Shu Hon	-	2%	12%	27%	33%	20%	5%
10	SAGE Sebastian	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	19%
11	FELDMAN Drew	-	-	2%	14%	44%	41%
12	BRANDT Jaden	-	-	4%	17%	41%	38%
13	WAXLER Ryan	-	2%	19%	51%	24%	3%
14	BADUSHOV Anton	2%	12%	30%	36%	18%	3%
15	LEE Anderson	5%	22%	37%	27%	9%	1%
16	YOSHEA Henry	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
17	RYAN Kai	-	2%	11%	27%	33%	21%	5%
18	CHUNG Connor	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	19%
19	BUCK Maximilian	10%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-
20	MANESCU Miron	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	-
21	SEN Christian	3%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%
22	CUSUMANO Neal	8%	29%	36%	20%	5%	1%
23	LIN Philip T.	-	3%	13%	28%	32%	19%	4%
24	MCDONALD Finn	2%	11%	27%	32%	20%	7%	1%
25	SADHU Neiyam	4%	22%	38%	28%	7%	1%
26	SAKAYEDA Jacob	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-
27	TSAI Kai-An (Kash)	15%	43%	35%	8%	1%	-
28	SUBA Lucas	1%	10%	26%	33%	22%	7%	1%
29	KIARA Kinoti	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
30	KOGAN Yelisey L.	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	5%
31	BALE ATMAN	14%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-
32	ONG Dylan	7%	26%	36%	24%	7%	1%
33	JIANG Terence	39%	45%	15%	1%	-	-
34	KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen	31%	40%	21%	6%	1%	-	-
35	MUNJULURI ruhaan	12%	43%	38%	6%	-	-
36	VAHABZADEH Jake R.	20%	40%	30%	9%	1%	-
36	ROSADO Sebastian	7%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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