The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
2 WANG Gloria - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 TAN Adelyn - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
5 TSE Angelina - - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
6 GAUTAM Sahana - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 LIU Sydney - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 16%
8 STONE Coral - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
9 KANG Ellie - - 5% 27% 46% 21%
10 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
11 LIN Annika - 4% 21% 44% 26% 5%
12 CONG Anne 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
13 MANN Sophia J. - - 4% 24% 45% 26%
14 HUAI Delilah - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
15 CHEN Colette - 6% 29% 42% 20% 3%
16 BORDAS HILL Georgiana - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
17 DANG Kelia - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
18 WANG Peijia 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
19 MORALES Camila Avisac 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
20 CHAN Jolene - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% 1%
21 TRILLO Maya Izabella - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
21 SUNG Isabella 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
23 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
24 MARTINEZ MARIA 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
25 KINKADE Ellie - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
26 LIAO Jieni 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
27 KU Alathea-Joy - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
28 LO Chloe - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
29 WONG Cerise 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
30 YAM Danika - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
31 LIN Elaine - 5% 23% 42% 25% 5%
32 TURIANO Nadelle 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
33 MUNGUIA Mila 2% 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
34 BAERENWALD Welles 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 2%
35 GAY Sasha 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
36 NING Lynn 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
37 LIN Kyleen - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
38 HAN Emma 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
39 LIU kai yin aria 4% 29% 44% 20% 3% -
40 LEE Irene 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
41 YUEN Nicole 28% 47% 21% 4% - -
42 SENGUPTA Jia 1% 9% 35% 39% 15% 2%
43 SEBASTIAN Ava 24% 46% 25% 5% - -
44 TONG Laurie 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
45 KNULL Emma - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
46 MISHEV Lila 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
47 HUANG Shiloh 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
48 SHEARER Alena - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
49 HUYANG xinke 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
50 BAIRD Kaleah 34% 46% 18% 3% - -
51 ZHAI AMY 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
51 WANG Jiayi 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
53 KIM Satie 24% 51% 22% 3% - -
54 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
55 LIN Abbey 8% 39% 39% 13% 1% -
56 JOHNSON Heaven 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
57 GIGUERE Nikita 65% 29% 5% - - - -
58 LIN Ariel 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
59 STAPLEY Claire 23% 48% 24% 5% - - -
60 KIM Alice 60% 34% 6% - - -
61 LEE Madeleine 31% 46% 19% 3% - -
62 ROBBINS Adele 41% 44% 13% 2% - - -
62 LIU Hannah 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
64 JUNG Sienna 49% 42% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.