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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 1% 8% 41% 50%
2 KANG Ellie - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
3 CONG Anne - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
5 SUNG Isabella 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
6 BAERENWALD Welles - - 3% 19% 42% 30% 6%
7 GAY Sasha - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
8 CHAN Jolene - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
9 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
10 NAVARRO LARIOS KATE - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
11 WANG Jiayi - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
12 SENGUPTA Jia - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
13 LIN Ariel - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
14 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
15 LEE Irene - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
16 TRILLO Maya Izabella - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
17 CAI Veronica - 4% 22% 39% 28% 7%
18 LIN Elaine - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
19 TONG Laurie - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
20 LIU kai yin aria 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
21 KIM Yeju - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
22 MARTINEZ MARIA - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
23 LONG Chloe - - 5% 19% 38% 30% 7%
24 OCA Merci - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
25 WONG Cerise - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
26 LONG Jessie 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
27 JIANG Evelyn - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
28 MISHEV Lila - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13%
29 DANG Madeleine 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
30 YU Stella 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
31 KIM Saeren 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
32 NING Lynn 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
33 WU Daisy - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
34 KIM Satie 8% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
35 HSIEH Lucia 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
36 CAI Joanna - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
37 WANG Tina 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
38 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
39 CHANG Kylie - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
40 SEBASTIAN Ava 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
41 VENNE Sophie 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
42 SHEN Elise 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3% -
43 NGUYEN Summer - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
44 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
45 GONG suri 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
46 HWANG Charlotte - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
47 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
47 AKULOVA Eva 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
49 ROBLES HERNANDEZ PERLA MONTSERRAT 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
50 DING Jolie 9% 44% 34% 11% 2% -
51 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
52 HU Ashley 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
53 JUNG Sienna 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
54 MEI Chloe 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
55 YUEN Nicole 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
56 STAPLEY Claire 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
57 XU Rachel 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
58 DAVIS Layla 6% 26% 40% 24% 5% - -
59 CONG Catherine 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
60 GIGUERE Nikita 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
61 ROBBINS Adele 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
62 YU Skylar 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
63 CAMACHO Keila 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
64 CUI Andrea 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
65 LIN Emmie 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
66 CAO Kim 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
67 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
68 SUTHERLAND Sadie 68% 29% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.