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Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATTIS George - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
2 JEON Alexander E. - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
3 LO Jake - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 WONG Chi Ho - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
5 ZHU Max - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
6 JIN Nicholas - - - 2% 14% 44% 39%
6 WRIGHT Christopher - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
8 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
9 GAO Chaney C. - - 1% 5% 24% 47% 23%
10 MOSES Alexander - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
11 ZHENG Haoran - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
12 HUSSAIN Kamran - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
13 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
14 KIM Dylan J. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
15 KIM Nathan - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
16 PAK Elliot 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 KIM Minjae 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
18 PHUKAN Rohin - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
19 YUEN Nathan 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
20 MIAO KUNQI 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
20 SCHROEDER Dylan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
20 EVERS Gabriel - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
23 ZHOU Stanley Q. - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
24 YUE Hongrui - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
25 KIM Sullivan - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
26 LEE Chun Po 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
27 DOWDELL Riley 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
28 MULCAHY Olaf - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
29 CASTELLY Luke - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
30 RANGEL Arturo - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
31 KIM Andrew J. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
33 SEO Shawn - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
34 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
35 CHEN Bailey - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
36 GALLO James - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
37 SARKAR Anish - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
38 SINGHA Orion - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
39 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
40 JONES Caleb - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
41 WANG owen 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
41 WESTON Tom - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
43 SINHA Zaan 1% 14% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
44 CHRISTENSEN Parker 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
45 FU Leon - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
46 MCMANUS Farran - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
47 LEE Inwoo 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 2% -
48 HINTON Evan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
49 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
50 LIU Yikun 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
51 ZI QIN Shang - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
52 HE Zhiheng 1% 6% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
53 JU Hanul 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
54 NG Biwon 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
55 JAMES Patrick 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
56 WATT Darren 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
57 LEE Bryson 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
58 LI Ethan R. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
59 MENDOZA Zachari - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
60 LI Yunji 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
61 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
62 ZHANG Joe 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
63 CROSSMAN Brandon - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
64 PAINTER Noah 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
65 DAO Alexander 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
66 RAMOS Max 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
67 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
68 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
69 TIEN Jabin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
70 LIU Noah 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
71 MING Nathan - 5% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
72 RICHARD silas 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
73 GOMEZ ISLAS Ezar Emiliano 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
74 LIU Yueri 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
75 PRAKASH Hari 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
75 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
77 SHIRLEY Kai 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
78 CHU Allan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
79 LOMIO Nicholas A. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
80 MCDONALD Ethan 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
80 CLAES Lucas 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
82 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
83 ROBINSON Samuel 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
84 GU Aidan 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
85 LI zerong 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
86 YU Austin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
87 LAU Christian 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
88 SHEN Jiayi 61% 33% 6% 1% - - -
89 BUFFINGTON Bryson 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.