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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HSU Kaylin - - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
2 BEAVER Ava - - 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 LENK Sophie - - 1% 12% 42% 36% 9%
3 ZHANG Soleil C. - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
5 BRYZGALOVA Svitlana - - - - 3% 32% 65%
6 CHANG Elizabeth - - - 4% 24% 55% 17%
7 AYUPOVA AMELIYA - - - - 4% 33% 63%
8 DENG Melissa - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
9 VO Bao-Vy - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
10 OH Ceana - - - 6% 32% 45% 17%
11 BAE Yooju - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19% 1%
12 CHEN Renee - - - - 4% 28% 67%
13 SUN Chloe - - - - 3% 24% 74%
14 SAIFEE Lamya - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
15 ZOU Ella - - - 6% 29% 51% 15%
16 VANMOORSEL Faye 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
17 WU Nicole Moxuan - 6% 26% 43% 22% 3% < 1%
18 HU Jenna - - 2% 14% 37% 39% 7%
19 CUI alivia - - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
20 GUAN Adeline - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
21 ZHANG Ivy - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
22 YUEN Elsie - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
23 WANG Carol - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
24 KIM Sydney 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
24 DUAN Sophie - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
26 GUO Audrey - 6% 28% 45% 18% 2% -
27 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira - 10% 32% 38% 17% 3%
28 MONAT Jennifer 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
29 LI Joy 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
30 HAN Gian - - 4% 22% 41% 29% 3%
31 YONG Rosalind - 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
32 MENG Annabel 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
33 DESAI Esha 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4% -
34 MENDOZA TALAMANTES Aleydiz - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
35 TIKHONOVA Sofia 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
36 ZHENG Zoe - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
37 POEI Lauren - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
38 ZHANG Lian 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
39 KO Claire - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
40 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13% 1%
41 WILLIAMSON Tessa 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
42 ANDONIAN Lauren 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
43 CHO Karis 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
44 GOEL Riyana 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
45 VILLARAMA Kara 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
46 LAY Apollonia - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
47 LIU Samantha 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
48 WU Chingfei Amber 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
49 CHOI Sophie 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
50 CHANG Olivia 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
51 CHANG Janelle 14% 45% 32% 9% 1% - -
52 ZONG Melody 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
53 MA Yifei (Olivia) 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
54 LEVESQUE Brielle - 18% 40% 31% 10% 1%
55 PORRAS Sofia 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
56 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 1% 12% 33% 37% 16% 2% -
57 WANG Dina C. 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
58 PU claire 1% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
59 SCHULTZ Nomi 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
60 HUGHES Olivia 18% 48% 29% 5% - - -
61 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 4% 25% 45% 22% 3% - -
62 SREENIVAS Ridhi 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
63 LIU Angelina 18% 44% 30% 7% 1% - -
64 CHU Felicity 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
65 SAH Madeleine 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
66 JACOB Norah 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
67 NGUYEN Chloe 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -
68 LEE LAUREN 95% 5% - - - -
69 KURIKI Emma 3% 23% 48% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.