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George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 3:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PIHLSTROM Richie - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
2 SEMP Brannon A. - - 3% 18% 41% 31% 7%
3 KLEBS Robert - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
3 COLBY Mercer 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 5% < 1%
5 JENSBY Jason - - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
6 MARKOWITZ Jonathan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
7 CATLETT III Robert - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
8 ROSE Colin - 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
9 JOHNSON Waldron - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
10 PHAM Matthew - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
11 BENSON Jacob 3% 26% 41% 24% 5% 1% -
12 TRAYNOR Jake 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
13 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
14 ROORDA Easton - 4% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
15 SULLIVAN Anna 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
16 TRUONG Oliver 3% 27% 43% 23% 4% - -
17 FRECK Erin 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
18 PAGAN Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
19 TAJUDDIN Sarina - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
20 BUNCHER Michael - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
21 OLMEN Kelsey - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
22 MARTIN Audrey 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
23 BARR Corinne 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
24 BEAUMONT Peyton 11% 41% 35% 11% 2% - -
25 KIM Isaac 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
26 URIBE David 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
27 PETERS Ella 1% 9% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
28 LESTYAN Cat 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.