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Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 KASI Sanjay - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
3 JOSEPH Dominic - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
3 LIN Richard W. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
5 DENYSE Jameson - - 3% 16% 33% 34% 13%
6 HO Ryan J. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
7 BALL James T. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
8 IVARSSON Oliver - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
10 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
11 HEWES Thomas G. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
12 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
13 BAE Kevin 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
14 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
15 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
16 TSAI Philip W. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
17 MA Alexander - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
18 ZHANG Henry C. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
19 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
20 DESOLA Damian C. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
21 WANG Michael - 5% 26% 40% 23% 4%
22 MATHEWS Rocco J. 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
23 HERGERT Benito - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
24 FRITZ Ayden R. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
25 XIE Javah 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
26 BROOKES Scott L. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
27 ISRAELIAN Marat - 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
28 FERRARO Peter M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
29 HU Robin 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
30 WEINKOPF William O. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
31 LEE Daniel C. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
32 MCGRATH Sean L. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
33 KITAGAWA Eric S. 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
34 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 6% 26% 43% 21% 3%
35 HEALY Griffen - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
36 MACRAE Harrison A. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
37 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
38 CAI Oliver K. 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
39 LE Vyn A. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
40 REZNICK Nicholas J. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
41 MILLER Trent D. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
42 ENGEL Henry R. 7% 34% 38% 18% 4% -
43 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. - 6% 28% 41% 22% 4%
44 KWON Ethan - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
45 SCHICKER Glenn - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
46 KAZA Nitish - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
47 SWADDIPONG Diego P. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
48 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
49 ORR Aidan - 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
50 FURST Matthew C. 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
51 MAGIDSON Gabriel 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
52 DAUM Charlie 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
53 ST. CLAIR Regan A. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
54 WANG Gerald Y. 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
55 NAGER Noah - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
56 ALDRICH Peter - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
57 BOOTSMA Shawn-Ryan V. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
58 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
59 HAN Lawrence 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
60 TSAI Max W. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
61 BELLUOMO David C. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
62 TAKLE Douglas 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
63 DYCKMAN Andrew P. 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
64 BAO Wenyuan 32% 45% 20% 3% - -
65 MUNDAHL Morgan K. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
66 BOUSSY Luciano 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
67 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
68 DESOLA Aidan J. 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
69 STURGIS Zachary C. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
70 SHEIKH Arham 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
71 ESTEVES Dionel L. 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
72 WOHLERS Casey 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
73 HILMER Michael 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
74 WADE Grayson 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
75 QUINTEROS AMAT Tomas 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
76 MONTALBINE Aidan 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
77 SHADPOOR Ryan 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% - -
78 ZHAO Jesse 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
79 DEGEORGES Kip L. 25% 46% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.