American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHENCK Koen M. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
2 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
3 MANGE Nathan - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
3 MARSHALL Ian - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
5 LE Vyn A. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
6 SHA Yi Peng - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
7 LI Owen - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
8 AHN Jun 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
9 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
10 LANG Dong Lin - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
11 BREIER Matthew F. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
12 OLSON Stephen J. - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
13 KULKARNI Ansh A. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
14 BING Charles - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 7%
15 SHIN Joshua J. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
16 KAZA Nitish - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
17 SHIKHMAN Robert - - 1% 10% 35% 41% 14%
17 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
19 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
20 WEINKOPF William O. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
21 HOWARD Michael - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
22 DEGREMONT Henri S. - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
23 MOHAMMAD Abdulwahab - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
24 MACRAE Harrison A. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
25 IVARSSON Oliver - 2% 14% 37% 36% 12%
26 JOHNSON Cooper A. - 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
28 BICKFORD Michael S. - 2% 9% 24% 33% 25% 7%
29 WHITEHEAD Amir 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
30 BRYANT Max - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
31 VERSTEELE Sander - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
32 BOISLARD Adam J. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
33 DU Samuel R. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
34 WANG Michael - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
35 MENG Zhaoyi - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
36 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
37 HOWARD Alexander - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
38 DENYSE Jameson - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
39 HAN Lawrence - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8%
40 CRALEY Thomas M. - - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
41 ANTON Nathaniel - - 4% 23% 44% 25% 4%
42 JUDD Mehta J. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
43 CORTIZAS John (Jack) - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
44 CAI Oliver K. 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
45 ZHAO Jesse 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% -
46 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
47 GRAHAM Aleko - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
48 WALOR Owen T. 1% 10% 37% 37% 14% 2%
49 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
50 MCCAULEY Samuel R. 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 1%
51 CHIN Jason Y. - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
52 ORR Aidan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
53 ACHILOV Sayid - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
54 WERWA Griffith 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
55 SKINNER Matthew D. 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
56 SELL Ethan J. - - 1% 10% 40% 39% 10%
57 PRIETO Julian 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
58 YOON Eugene H. - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
59 DAUM Charlie 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
60 HONG Issac 6% 22% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
61 MUNDAHL Morgan K. 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
62 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
63 SANTULLI Tristan - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
64 EIG Ethan A. 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
65 ENGEL Henry R. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
66 SHADPOOR Ryan 3% 30% 42% 21% 4% - -
67 STRAYER Andrew 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
68 GARR James D. 1% 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
69 GEORGE Michael 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
70 BRINTON III Robert H. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
71 BROWN Alexander R. 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
72 MAGIDSON Josh 22% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
73 DRESSEL Jet 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
74 QI Steve 1% 15% 40% 34% 9% 1% -
75 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
76 GALLUCCI Charles John - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
77 MAYER Richard 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
78 BERGER Cameron D. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
79 AMRANI David 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
80 BAO Wenyuan 6% 31% 42% 18% 3% - -
81 TSAI Max W. - 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
81 KEANNA Peter 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
83 ANTONIO Marcky C. 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
84 MURPHY Damian J. 17% 46% 28% 7% 1% -
85 SCHROCK Michael 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
86 KIZHNER Fillip 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
87 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
88 SONG Bryan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
88 ECK Nathaniel 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
90 LIGOS Alex M. 34% 45% 17% 3% - -
91 GORDON Alexander (Sasha) 1% 17% 42% 32% 7% 1% -
92 CHOI-SLATTERY Kieran M. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
93 NITTEL Jake 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
93 DEMARCO Matthew 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
95 GUO Sean 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
96 LEVINE-RITTERMAN Joshua 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1% -
97 TRUBETSKI David 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
98 JUSTUS Benjamin 72% 25% 3% - - - -
99 CHEUNG Kevin 77% 21% 2% - - - -
100 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
101 ARANA Massimo 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
102 SCHALES Peyton 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
102 CAPUTO John 59% 34% 6% - - - -
104 CRANS Benjamin 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
105 XU Mathu Yang 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
106 JONES Taajuddin 57% 38% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.